Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy!

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Click on the link below to view This Week's Wake-Up episode/Prop bet videos and more!👇

One of the biggest winners of the 2023 NFL Draft is a WR I talked about on both the 4D Chess Podcast and this past week’s Who’s Next Podcast. Maybe the Packers listened? Anyway, Jayden Reed is my biggest fantasy winner from this year's draft.

Despite being a non-early declare, Jayden Reed flashed in my analytics model, especially being one of only six WRs to have hit a 30% Dominator Rating in either their first or second year in college. Reed posted a 55 catch, 792-yard, 8 TD line in 2018 at Western Michigan as a true freshman. That was good enough for a 32.8% Dominator Rating and a Breakout Age of 18.3 years old. He then ended up transferring to Michigan State and had a best season of 59 catches, 1026 yards, and 10 TDs in 2021. His 2.56 Best Season Yards per Team Pass Attempt and Career Weighted Dominator of 29.2% are also very solid metrics for Reed.

The Green Bay Packers then used a Second Round pick (50th overall) on the Spartan, deciding that he would be worthy of being their slot receiver entering the Jordan Love era. I am really excited for Reed and the opportunity he has ahead of him. With Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs controlling the outside positions, Reed should have plenty of space in the middle to be one of Jordan Love’s go-to guys as soon as this upcoming 2023 season.

What an incredible weekend to be a part of the Destination Devy community! Like many of you reading this, I spent ALL hours of the draft coverage tapped into the best live stream on YouTube hosted by Ray and JRich, along with the other brilliant minds on the Destination Devy team. Not only were the actual selections analyzed, but more importantly, the strategy behind the various decisions we will make in our upcoming rookie drafts were constantly covered in great depth, like very few analysts provide. My hat’s off to the whole crew and the amazing community that were a part of this experience.

Immediately following the draft, the community has churned out some fresh ADP to aid our coming rookie drafts this week. I want to compare to our pre-draft ADP taken from the mocks in the last week and highlight some of the notable risers and fallers you need to be aware of heading into your rookie drafts.

Devon Achane (RB, Miami Dolphins) - I just wanna wish the best of luck to all defenses trying to stop the speed of the Miami offense now. Hill, Waddle, and they add Achane? The Aggie speedster is vaulting up right now and being selected with an ADP of 11.5 as one of the biggest risers across any position.

Rashee Rice (WR, Kansas City Chiefs) and Jonathan Mingo (WR, Carolina Panthers) - Left for dead in the back end of the third pre-draft, both of these wideouts are now enjoying the fruits of their landing spot and draft capital. Tied at 17.3 in our post-draft ADP a mid-second feels reasonable to sprinkle a share or two.

Israel Abanikanda (RB, New York Jets) - This one stings for us. Breece Hall looked phenomenal when healthy, and Michael Carter remains an obstacle ahead of Abanikanda to deal with. Expectations should remain low on Izzy at this time as his 32.5 ADP reflects the concerns we have with this landing spot. Heading in, our pre-draft ADP had Izzy at 20.3, and he, unfortunately, is one of the biggest fallers across all positions.

Sean Tucker (RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers) - No one fell harder for us than Sean Tucker. Many of us had such high hopes for him, but ultimately he went undrafted. Tucker was still being taken too high prior to the draft with an ADP of 29.4, given the negative information about his health. Finally, drafters have stopped pushing the button with an ADP of 48.3. Sorry Sean, I hope you prove us wrong.

If you want access to the full ADP to prepare for your rookie drafts, make sure you tap down below.

UNDERDOG FANTASY

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The NFL draft always brings some surprises with it, and we certainly saw some players slip, whether by character concerns or injury/medical concerns. Who do we need to be aware of or concerned about?

Will Levis slipped to the top of the 2nd round, going pick 33 to Tennessee. Rumors swirled that he slipped due to a turf toe injury that some scouts are concerned about, particularly if it requires surgery. I’m not buying these rumors, because he was medically cleared, and he has already stated that he does not require surgery on the toe. Other reasons were likely why he slipped, although notably, Tennessee and several other teams were trying to trade into the end of round 1 to have the fifth-year option on Levis. I’m not worried about the low long-term concern of his prior turf toe injury, and he should be safe to draft from an injury perspective in Superflex leagues (not sure I care about him in 1QB leagues).

Darnell Washington is an extremely athletic tight end who slipped into round 3 because of concerns regarding his knee, having required surgery to address a “cartilage issue.” While slightly concerning, it is unlikely to impact his next 3-4 years in the NFL. The downside here is that he will be behind Pat Freiermuth, who has injury concerns of his own, and it typically takes tight ends 2-3 years to turn into fantasy producers. Fading him unless it’s a 1.5-2.0 TEP league.

Kendre Miller had some injury concerns, coming off of the MCL injury and surgery. His draft capital tells us it’s of very little concern moving forward, obtaining top-75 DC on a team that loves to run the ball and maybe without Alvin Kamara for some time this season (and who is also a cut candidate into 2024). Miller may wind up being the third option and low producer for year one, but I’m not concerned about his injury long-term for Dynasty.

Tyjae Spears reportedly “has no ACL” in his knee after having two surgeries to address the issue (2015 and 2020). While it is technically possible to play without an ACL (Hines Ward reportedly played his entire career without an ACL in his left knee) if you have enough dynamic stability from your muscles, there is still a part of me that doesn’t fully trust this story. It’s such a rare occurrence, granted the ACL provides proprioception in the knee as well as key static stability, but if his quadriceps and hamstrings are strong enough, it could be allowing him to cut and sprint without issue. While Ward is an anomaly, I’m not sure I want stock in Spears for Dynasty. The risk is high, but he could pay off at cost if you get him mid- to late-2nd, Henry is traded away, Spears starts, and you capitalize on a trade. I’m personally not playing that game with Spears.

Sean Tucker notably went undrafted after it was revealed that he had medical concerns surrounding a mysterious heart condition. He was medically cleared to participate at his pro day, but teams were obviously still pessimistic about his long-term health. The Buccaneers signed him as a UDFA, which is honestly a great landing spot for him to contend with Rachaad White for touches. Tucker is worth a fourth-round rookie pick dart throw, maybe even late third if he can perform at the NFL level even for 2-3 years. Hard to imagine that he can’t fight off Chase Edmonds and Ke’Shawn Vaughn for at least the RB2 role. Just don’t draft him in the 2nd like some of those Justyn Ross truthers did last season.

Follow me @jmthrivept for live updates over the off-season.

Beyond the Mic🎙

The depth which we thought this class provided was all a dream. There are still a few high-end assets in this class that I am very excited about: Anthony Richardson, CJ Stroud, Bryce Young, Bijan Robinson, and Jamhyr Gibbs. JSN, for some, May belong in the aforementioned group, and for others, may be closer to the pack he was drafted in line with in Quentin Johnson, Jordan Addison, and Zay Flowers.

Either way you decide to categorize JSN, the fall-off in the 2023 class starts either right before or after him. There are some solid tight ends to take a chance on in this class too, but relative to expectations, this class is a little disappointing, and the 2nd round doesn’t hold near the value in which we once thought that it did.

In lineup leagues, I would try and package up late firsts and early 2nds to see if you can net a truly elite asset before your draft starts.

The draft has ended, and while everyone is talking about the landing spots, who went where. Who won the NFL draft?

Well, in this column today, I’m going to go over which NFL Veterans won the draft.

At QB, I think the clear winners are Geno Smith, Jordan Love, and Desmond Ridder. Geno didn’t get any QBs drafted by Seattle, but what did Geno get? JSN, Zach Charbonnet, and a couple of offensive linemen to help protect him. Big win for Geno Smith this weekend. Jordan Love got a lot of shiny new toys to throw this off-season. Luke Musgrave, Jayden, Reed, Tucker Kraft, Dontayvion Wicks, and a couple of others. Jordan Love now has some weapons around him to throw to, for sure. Why couldn’t they have ever done this for Aaron Rodgers, though? Lastly, Desmond Ridder. Much like Seattle, he didn’t get a QB drafted at all. He got Bijan Robinson, obviously one of the best RBs we’ve seen come out since 2018. An offensive line upgrade in Round 2 as well. Ridder comes out very well out of this.

RB spot clear winners for me are Rhamondre Stevenson, James Conner, Isaih Pachecho, and Dameon Pierce, all coming out ahead for me after the draft. None of their teams drafted anyone of any significance behind them. Sure, they still need to dodge the FA landmines, but I’ll take a random free agent over a rookie RB. These guys all come out way ahead.

WR winners for me are Cooper Kupp, Treylon Burks, Michael Pittman Jr, and Nico Collins. Kupp: the Rams didn’t draft any WRs really to even come close to taking away any of Kupp’s work. Kupp should be an elite target once again. Treylon Burks Tennessee didn’t take a WR until Round 7. Major major major win for Treylon. Here he is, the number one WR here by a mile. Michael Pittman Jr, they added Josh Downs but Downs won’t hamper him on the outside. Pittman gets the QB in Anthony Richardson to really like Pittman after this draft. Lastly, Nico Collins… I think not adding one of the top WRs in this class is big for him. Sure, Robert Woods, Metchie, Tank Dell, and Noah Brown are there, but Nico should be the #1 WR in this offense, in my opinion.

Lastly, the TE winners for me. Tyler Higbee, Noah Fant, Gerald Everett, and Irv Smith Jr. Higbee got a later-round TE drafted with Davis Allen, who I do like, but Higbee should still be a solid TE for us next year. Fant Seattle didn’t draft a TE at all. JSN being in the slot now should help open up some more field for Fant to like that a lot. Gerald Everett, the Chargers were always one of the favorites for Kincaid or Mayer, or any TE, really, and they didn’t draft any TEs at all. A big win here for Gerald Everett. Lastly, the same thing as Everett with Irv Smith Jr. The Bengals didn’t draft a TE either, and they were a heavy favorite to select one. The Bengals even passed on Michael Mayer. So as of right now, Irv is looking pretty solid at the TE for Cincinnati, and Joe Burrow throwing him darts.

The draft brings overreactions every year. If your rookie drafts are as soon as tomorrow, ADP is far from settled. DON’T OVERREACT. One of the biggest overreactions from this year may be attached to one of the most high-powered offenses. The Kansas City Chiefs' 2nd Round draft pick of Rashee Rice just maybe that one early this year. The Chiefs' landing spot has burned dynasty players for years now, most recently Skyy Moore last year.

Another non-power five day Two WR goes off the board this year, and I’m just not that excited. The top Four WR of this class are just leaps and bounds ahead of the rest as it stands for me right now. I’d give Rice and Moore an equal chance to be a greater contributor in this season, and I don’t even believe much in that role. The 3rd best receiving option on this team was Jerrick McKinnon last year, with 56 catches. MVS is still here, too, as the actual WR 3 with 42 catches for 687 yards. At best, you’re looking at a WR 3 replacement here, and I wouldn’t take Rice before the back half of the 2nd round.

Dynasty Trade of the week

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