⛽️🔥 ADP risers/fallers, Week 15 Starts

Fast Five facts/Injury reports and More

Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy!

Fast Five Facts leading into Week Fifteen

All Stats Are Courtesy of The 33rd Team's Edge

1.) Patrick Mahomes Leads all Starting QBs with completed air yards against Man coverage (864 Yards)

2.) Dalvin Cook has the most yards before contact in zone rush attempts.

3.)Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are #1 and #2 in receiving yards when lined up outside.

4.)Evan Engram has the most catches from the tight end position when lined up outside this season at 8.

5.) The Cleveland Browns have allowed the least amount of rushing yards to the Quarterback position.

If you love our show and want to support everything we do for you and have fun placing bets with us, head on to PrizePicks. PrizePicks offers a 100% Deposit Match for our people, up to $100. Click the button above to take you right there to sign up to get in on the action below!

We haven’t hit Bowl Season yet (first game today), but we’re already onto the 2024 NFL Draft Class. No? Just me? Well, anyway… This week we will be looking at the QB1 in all of College Football and the 2022 Heisman Trophy winner - Caleb Williams.

Williams had a great freshman season in limited time at Oklahoma in 2021. The 6’ 1” 215, pound QB played in 8 games and threw for 1912 yards and 21 touchdowns while completing 115 passes on 184 attempts. That was good for 10.2 adjusted yards per attempt. Williams also added 442 yards, which accounted for 18% of OUs team's rushing yards, and six touchdowns on the ground. PFF gave him a 90.3 Passing Grade, which was tied for 8th for all NCAA QBs and 5th in just P5. This also accounted for the 3rd best freshman PFF pass grade in my database. Needless to say, Caleb Williams had a very good freshman year, and he looks to continue that momentum into the Pac-12.

He then followed that up with a Heisman season at USC. Williams has thrown for just under 4100 yards, 37 TDs, and only 4 INTs. He also took a slight step back in the rushing department while only running for 372 yards, but he added a few more TDs to make up for it. In QBs with a minimum of 100 dropbacks, Williams received a PFF Passing grade of 86.9, which is good for 12th in the nation. He also received a PFF rushing grade of 82.6, which is good enough to be the 11th QB in the nation.

Williams has lit up the field in his two years thus far, and has now taken some hardware home. He is leading the 2024 QB class and will more than likely be a top-5 NFL Drank pick. We have been talking about the talent in the 2024 class, especially in the first round, and it is not too late to buy these picks. Williams is one of the main prizes in the class, and I would take him over every 2023 QB. Go buy more 2024 picks for your tickets to the Caleb Williams lottery.

With half the month already over I want to take a peek at some of the more notable risers and fallers for the month of December in our 2023 Rookie ADP. Some big name prospects have already declared for the NFL draft which gives a new layer of security to these decisions. One of my favorite examples is Anthony Richardson (QB, Florida) who went from an ADP in November of 23.0 all the way up to 6.8 in December. All it really took to boost his stock was knowing he would enter the draft officially. I am hoping an NFL organization will choose to invest in him early and allow him to develop his game for another year with a plan in place to build around him. The same is true for Will Levis (QB, Kentucky) who is also on the rise this month after his NFL draft declaration, going from 13.6 in November to 6.8 in December. Both of these quarterbacks could be taken in the first round and justify this ADP, or fall to the fifth round like Sam Howell where they end up more likely to be taken in the second or even third round of our rookie drafts.

Hendon Hooker (QB, Tennessee) is unsurprisingly one of our biggest fallers, as he suffered a season-ending ACL injury late in the season. He went from his November ADP of 17.2 and being taken as high as 1.03 at his peak this season, down to his December ADP of 24.5. It remains to be seen if his medicals will check out for the NFL to actually make a real investment. Blake Corum (RB, Michigan) along with Devon Achane (RB, Texas A&M) are both slipping a little in our mocks from late firsts to mid-seconds recently. Talent is not the issue with either of these backs, they are outliers when it comes to size, with Blake Corum possibly 5’6” tall and Devon Achane weighing under 185 lbs, we just do not see many prospects have success at this size in the NFL. Jermaine Burton (WR, Alabama) sounds like he will just go back to school next year as he continues to fall month over month down to 43.0 in December. Jayden Reed (WR, Michigan State) is the last name I will touch on as he is one of my favorite sleepers, with an ADP as low as 47.0 in December. Reed declared for the draft and has accepted a senior bowl invite as well, where I hope he can showcase his talents to elevate his draft stock and stay relevant.

Lamar Jackson (left PCL sprain) has been ruled out, while Tyler Huntley has cleared the concussion protocol and will start this week. Justin Fields (illness) practiced in full on Thursday, and likely won’t have any limitations. Mike White (ribs) remains limited in practice but has stated he intends to play. Russell Wilson (concussion) has been able to practice in a limited capacity and likely clears protocol in time. Kenny Pickett (concussion) remained limited in practice but may be able to clear in time.

Saquon Barkley (neck) has no limitations and was a full participant in practice. Najee Harris (hip) practiced in full on Thursday and should be good to go. Damien Harris (thigh) remains a limited participant while Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) remains out of practice, so one of Pierre Strong or Kevin Harris likely sees more touches. David Montgomery (illness) missed practice on Thursday but likely winds up playing. Dameon Pierce (high ankle) has missed practice as expected and will likely miss several weeks. Josh Jacobs (quad/finger) has been practicing in a limited capacity but is expected to play. Jeff Wilson (hip) is questionable this week, leaving the door open for Raheem Mostert, although there is expected to be a big snowstorm. Both Antonio Gibson (foot) and Brian Robinson (quad) have been limited in practice, so keep an eye on their statuses for this week.

Marquise Brown (illness) did not practice Thursday but likely plays. Diontae Johnson (hip) did not practice on Thursday, but this has been a trend for the Steelers for Thursday practices, so I expect him to be able to play this week. Brandin Cooks (calf) returned to practice in a limited capacity, while Nico Collins (foot) remains out. Courtland Sutton (hamstring) and Kendall Hinton (hamstring) both remain out of practice. Corey Davis (concussion) and Treylon Burks (concussion) have yet to return to practice and are unlikely to clear all concussion protocol steps in time. Tee Higgins (hamstring) remains limited in practice though Zac Taylor has said Tee will play (sure, Zac… sure..), while Tyler Boyd (finger dislocation) remains limited though we are unsure if he has been catching passes or not. Chase Claypool (knee) remains out of practice. Jakobi Meyers (concussion) has been able to practice in a limited capacity and may be able to return this week. Romeo Doubs (ankle) practiced in full and told reporters he expects to play this week.

Dallas Goedert (AC sprain) has been designated to return from IR and is expected to be activated and play this week. Darren Waller (hamstring) is in the same boat as Goedert, though I would feel much more comfortable starting Goedert this week than starting Waller. Pat Freiermuth (foot) remains out of practice and is trending towards missing this week. Hayden Hurst (calf) is doubtful for this week. Juwan Johnson (ankle) practiced in a limited capacity.

There are many more updates, especially after full injury reports come out, so be sure to tune in to the Destination Devy Injury Pod that drops on Sunday morning before setting your lineups, and follow me @jmthrivept for live updates.

Beyond the Mic🎙

4D gives some holiday cheer this Fantasy Football Season

Merry Christmas everybody! Ok, I know it isn’t until December 25th, but be honest. Didn’t Tuesday, December 13th really beat out the 25th? Tuesday was the official day we all got to unwrap our gift of knowing exactly where our draft slot would be for the 2023 rookie drafts for our rebuilding teams! Unless that is, you play in one of these abhorrent lottery system leagues. Besides those turd systems, us normal folks got to envision and start to dream of all the possibilities of what we can do with the pick! For most of us, we also got to laugh at the trades we made months and maybe even years ago that netted us extra premium draft capital. Congratulations on netting the 1.01, 1.02, 1.04, and 1.06! Now it’s time to get to work.

We have 5 months or so to research prospects, analyze all the data points, and put together the best picture possible we can for these incoming rookies. Above all else, I’m here to tell you to keep an active pulse on the market. Don’t get caught up in this euphoria. 5 months is an eternity in the dynasty space. For 5 months, your league-mates will be devouring all the content and information they can as well on almost nothing but incoming rookies. The hype and excitement will be almost too much to bear for mere mortals. You’re not just a mortal though! You are an active consumer of Destination Devy content. You will have a much better feel for the true value and potential of these prospects than your leaguemates. You will be able to separate conjecture from fact. And MOST IMPORTANTLY, you will know when to pivot off that conjecture into sustainable production for your future teams. Christmas was already here for us true dynasty gamers. Now our watch begins. Stay frosty my friends.

 @FantasyGenes gives us his two matchups for week 15.

Brian Robinson vs Giants

Brian Robinson has been trusted to lead the backfield carries for the last four weeks. He has 30 more carries and double the rush yards from the next person(Gibson). Two weeks ago, he almost rushed for 100 yards vs the Giants and will get another crack at them again. The Giants rush defense:

  • 31st in rush DVOA

  • Allow the 3rd most rush yards per game to RBs (123)

  • Allow the 2nd most yards per carry to RBs (5.3)

  • Allow the most rec yards to catch to RBs (8.8)

  • Start BRob in all your lineups. Taking the over 66.5 rush yards line on PrizePicks.

Garrett Wilson vs Lions

Since Mike White has taken over, the rookie WR Garrett Wilson has led the WRs in fantasy pts, routes run, yards per route run, air yards, targets, receptions, receiving yards, yards per catch, and TDs. All this to say, he is the apple of Mike's eye. Now they take on the Lions' secondary, who has been bad. The Lions' pass defense:

  • 21st in pass DVOA

  • Allow the 2nd most fantasy pts per game to WRs

  • Allow the 2nd most recs per game to WRs

  • Allow the 2nd most rec yards per game to WRs

  • Start G Wilson in all your lineups. Taking the over 64.5 rec yards line on PrizePicks.

 @EricVanekNFL gives us his best lineup options in Week 15.

The playoffs are here, it is now officially crunch time! Hopefully, y’all did make your fantasy playoffs this week, or you have a first-round bye which would be even better! Congrats to everyone, and now let's go get that big money bag!

I will be looking at FantasyPros ECR rankings to give you a look at guys outside the top 12 at QB, top 24 RB, top 36 WR, and top 12 at TE as some sleeper options to play this week.

At QB this week, I’m going back to him again, even though he didn’t help you win last week. QB Mike White of the New York Jets. White is at home against the Lions this time, one of the hottest teams in the league. The Lions' defense is still not great, but this is a huge game with playoff implications for both teams. Who would have thought that looking at the schedule before the year? I think White at home should have a big game here, and I’m willing to roll the dice with him this week for sure.

The RB this week I like outside of the top 24 is RB Raheem Mostert for the Miami Dolphins. Jeff Wilson is most likely going to be out in this one, and also, they’re expecting 9+ inches of snow in the Buffalo area for this one. I think Miami is going to have to run the ball quite a bit in this one, and Mostert is the only one there they trust. They’ve had Gaskins and Ahmed all year, and none of them have really touched the ball I think they ride Mostert in this one, and he should be a solid RB2 play.

WR 40 this week is Elijah Moore, and I’m riding the stack here. The Lions have been dead last against slot WRs in points given up the last few weeks. Elijah is playing a lot more. Corey Davis will most likely miss this game as well I think Elijah is set up for a big game here. I am hoping this will get Elijah back on track here, and we can see get back to his true potential that we’ve all seen him since he came into the NFL. Fire up some Elijah.

TE 13 this week is Chig Okonkowo. He’s been one of the hot players in fantasy the last two weeks and last week had a career game. I think Chiggy, as I like to call him, can have another good game here against the Chargers in a game the Titans really need to win after last weeks deflating loss. I am willing to get Chiggy With It this week! Ride him!

Good luck to everyone in the first round of your playoffs!

🎧 Destination Devy Radio Network 🎧

Listen to Ray G and J Rich and the Wake-Up show every Monday/Wednesday, and Friday.

Listen to the array of Fantasy Football content. From Redraft to Dynasty, from Roster Construction to Injury reports, We've got you covered. Tap in below 👇

Free-mium ⛽️🔥

The All Gas Newsletter is here to provide you with nothing but premium content for FREE in an easily digestible format to showcase the best of what we have going on throughout the week. Our staff does a tremendous job of making sure this content comes to you weekly, so be sure to give them a follow if you like their stuff to show your support for their work.