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⛽️ 🔥 A-Rob bounce back season, Aaron Jones and Elijah Moore Redraft targets

Training Camp Hype, Zach Charbonnet talk, Injury reports & More

Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy!


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A-Rob Rising Again

Allen Robinson is FINALLY paired with not just a good quarterback...but a GREAT quarterback. The upgrade from everyone he's ever had throwing him the football from college to the NFL to Matthew Stafford shouldn't have to be stated, but I'll do it anyways AROB IS SET FOR LIFT OFF IN 2022!!! While Cooper Kupp is no doubt, the first option in that passing attack 850 yards over 15 games is a mere 56-yards per game. That's like three downfield throws from Stafford a game. This number is light work for ARob, and you're truly just betting on his health because the offense, the talent, and the opportunity are all there for him to crush this number this fall. Suppose you want in on the action. Click that big button below to get in!

Ahead of the Curve

I know there are a few of the DD Team members that are of the belief in the philosophy “WRs Don’t Matter,” but this week, we are going to highlight two of them that do matter: Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase.

I probably already lost a few people that are thinking, “Well, duh. They’re amazing. I don’t need to read this.” You’re right. You probably don’t need to read this to know these two are the consensus WR1 and WR2 in all of dynasty fantasy football, but I am trying to put into perspective how good they have actually been.

Let’s first take a look at their raw stats in a historic sense. Since 2010, there have been a total of 6 players that have eclipsed 1000 receiving yards as a 21-year old. Four are Keenan Allen (1046), Mike Evans (1051), Amari Cooper (1070), and Kyle Pitts (1026). Obviously, the other two are Justin Jefferson (1400) and Ja’Marr Chase (1455), both reaching 1400+ yards. Additionally, they are the only 21-year old WRs to score more than 17 PPG (Jefferson: 17.1, Chase: 17.9). Finally, Jefferson (2.66) and Chase (2.44) are two of four WRs (min. 30 targets) to post a greater than 2.10 yards per route run their rookie season. The other two are A.J. Brown (2.42) and Kadarius Toney (2.14). Side note - go buy Kadarius Toney. Not only have Jefferson and Chace been productive, but they have been some of the most efficient WRs on a route run basis.

Finally, let’s take a look at how the start of their fantasy careers stacks up to their predecessors. Below is a snapshot of our NFL Age Curve tool we have within our Destination Devy Notion Database.

The age curve in this example is looking at all WRs that hit a top-6 season, in terms of PPG, at least once between 2014 and 2021. As you can see, Jefferson and Chase are both well-ahead of the curve in their first seasons. There should be some natural progression for both of these elite pass catchers as they mature and learn more. Quite honestly, I do not know what the ceiling for these two is. I can easily see them hitting 20+ PPG, even closer to 25 PPG, within their careers. Both are tied to, now, pass-first offenses with solid QBs.

Replaceable WRs may not matter, but these two certainly do. I would love to have either (or both) of Jefferson or Chase on my fantasy roster, locked into my WR1 spot, producing elite numbers, for the next 5+ years.

This is just one SMALL part of the work that goes into JB's analytic database. To gain access to these types of charts and much more subscribe at the All-Am level below!

Many of us wanted to see Zach Charbonnet declare for the NFL draft this spring. The 6’1” 220lbs running back out of UCLA has the prototypical size we look for at the next level and put up an impressive 1334 yards from scrimmage along with 13 touchdowns. The Bruin even showed a significant improvement in his receiving game, hauling in 24 passes which nearly doubled his career total last season. Charbonnet was in line for day two draft capital alongside Breece Hall and Kenneth Walker, with a path to warranting at least mid-first-round selection in our rookie drafts. Instead, he went back to UCLA for his senior year and now fights for our fantasy attention in an absolutely loaded 2023 rookie draft class. His ADP of 20.1 in July sits him in the back end of the second round, constantly being drafted around diminutive speedsters like Devon Achane or Deuce Vaughn. With a backfield to himself and the physical tools he has at his disposal, I expect another monster season out of Charbonnet and will happily grab as many shares possible at this ADP.

I’ve been looking forward to this week, primarily because we were set to gain an exorbitant amount of injury intel once players arrived for physicals at the beginning of camp. Sure enough, what a week!

We found out that Chris Godwin, who tore his ACL/MCL on December 19th and had surgery on January 3rd, passed his physical and was cleared to practice, avoiding PUP. This is key because a player can only be placed on the Reserve/PUP list at the start of the season if that player has been placed on Active/PUP at the very beginning of camp, meaning Godwin is no longer eligible to be placed on PUP for Week 1 of the season. Now, the team could still elect to place him on IR if he is not ready after camp/pre-season (remember, IR rules changed to a minimum of only four games, and a player can return from IR twice in one season now). My educated guess is that Godwin is either active on limited snaps for Week one, or is inactive until he is cleared to play in Week two or three. Either way, great news considering the more he is able to play early on, the faster his fantasy production surge occurs throughout the season as he regains his prior level of performance. If he is active at the beginning of the season, look for high production increases around mid-season. Note: With the recent signing of Julio Jones, gives the Bucs the chance to allow Godwin to practice but still not rush him back too quickly. Keep that in mind as his ADP and value rises over these next few weeks.

We also found out that Michael Thomas has been cleared to practice and has already been removed from PUP. The hope is that you listened to key injury analysts and bought the dip on MT, as his ADP is sure to skyrocket over the next month. Sparked by a nice little shout-out from MT to our fellow fantasy injury analysts, thankfully I did not lie to you all and hopefully helped you acquire MT for cheap this off-season.

Other notable players placed on PUP:

Minimal Concern: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (cleared already), Marquise Brown (Hamstring/ankle sprain)

Chance they start the season on Reserve/PUP (4 games missed minimum): JK Dobbins (ACL/LCL), Gus Edwards (ACL), Christian Watson (Knee surgery, “clean-up” post-camp), Robert Tonyan (ACL), David Bell (foot), KJ Hamler (ACL), Sterling Shepard (Achilles), Logan Thomas (ACL/MCL)

High likelihood of missed games: Jameson Williams (ACL), Michael Gallup (ACL)


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This is the kind of deal BestBall managers dream of on the package side. In a small starting lineup league, there is some validity to acquiring Chase for this cost. In a BestBall league however almost no player is worth this kind of package, let alone the Wide Receiver position which has the deepest and flattest replacement cost. Receiving 2 future 1sts, Mooney(worth a 1st), and a couple of 2nds on top opens up so much roster liquidity for the future along with the ability to acquire multiple weekly starters if a title push is decided. The package side wins here by a LANDSLIDE!

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Beyond the Mic🎙

The dynasty clock is ticking. @ATM gives some helpful tips to strike at the right time.

Training camp has started and football is back! Everyone is excited that football is here which makes the average dynasty mindset shift a ton of its focus to contending and the players are going to score points in my lineup. Simply knowing how the dynasty clock works is an edge. Last season I experienced the dreaded failed contender. I believe we should always be seeking to improve so that you can ultimately position your dynasty teams to be the best in your league. Right now as the majority of people shift their attention to winning now, do not be afraid to zag to the rebuilding side if you are not a true contender in your league.

If you ain’t first, be last - ATM

You can check out all the content that the 4D Guys dropped this past week ⬇️

Aaron Jones: Redraft Weapon @FantasyGenes discusses why.

Aaron Jones has been a very productive running back throughout his time in the NFL. Last year he finished as RB11 even with a 52/45 opportunity share split with AJ Dillon. With the departure of Davante Adams, it’s just a bunch of guys in the WR and TE room. I believe Aaron Jones will be leaned on in the passing game. Jones has shown the ability to catch the ball and even line up on the outside and work as a receiver. Last year he was 6th in the league in receptions, 13% target share, and 7th in targets with 64. Per PFF in the last three years, Jones has 21 10+ yard targets, which is the most by a running back. Also is one of four running backs to avg at least 2.0 yards per route run when lined up in the slot or out wide.

In eight games without Davante Adams on the field, Aaron Jones was:

  • Targeted on 34% of routes ran

  • Scored 23 fantasy pts per game

  • Had on a per game basis: 4.5 recs, 48.5 yards, .5 tds on 6 targets

I am making it a point to target Aaron Jones in redraft, he is a weapon!

@just_ike09 weighs in on his favorite mid-round WR

Elijah Moore showed a lot of flashes as a rookie in 2021 before having his season cut short due to a quad injury. In weeks 7-13, he was the WR3 overall as he averaged close to 18 FPPG while catching passes from four different QBs. He was top 15 in the league at beating man coverage at a rate of 41.6%. Additionally, he was amongst a handful of rookies over the last decade to have at least a 1.7 YPRR & >20% target share (Chase, Waddle, Smith, St. Brown also on this list). He is a baller!

Currently going off the board as the WR38 (Sleeper ADP), I believe this is as close to an auto pick as it gets in the 6th/7th round. His elite underlying metrics, athletic profile, and success in Year one make him a strong candidate for a Year two breakout. I would take him over guys like Juju Smith-Schuster, Treylon Burks, DeAndre Hopkins (suspended six games) & Hunter Renfrow going in the same range.

Draft Elijah Moore!

Training Camp has started! @EricVanekNFL advises us on how to navigate the first week of camp

Actionable news is already starting for us in the Dynasty community. Tyler Allgeier may be the starting RB? Isaiah McKenzie the starting slot WR in Buffalo? Julio Jones and Kyle Rudolph sign with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and they have one Tom Brady as their QB? SELL SELL SELL! Now is the time when you get these kinds of sell windows, pounce immediately on your league mates. Can you get a 2nd RD pick for Allgeier and cash out now? McKenzie, can you get a 3rd RD pick and cash out on a player who has never really shown ever he can be the guy in the slot? Julio Jones and Kyle Rudolph sign in Tampa Bay! Julio a 2nd? Probably more realistic for a 3rd RD pick for both! Maybe a 3rd and 4th? Try different combinations and cash out! Take that profit now off this news. This will not only help you for your rookie draft next season and taking rookies but for in-season as well! Do you need that spot start RB? D’Ernest Johnson is an example for last year. Now you banked that extra third RD pick to buy him for a week or two, or that type of player and start them in your lineup that week. Now is the time to get that kind of ammo for in-season to help your rosters!

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