Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy! 

Fast Five Facts leading into Week 16

All Stats Are Courtesy of The 33rd Team's Edge 

1.) Justin Fields has been the least accurate QB in the NFL against Man coverage on routes of 10 yards or less at 40%.

2.) Jamaal Williams has scored 8 touchdowns in Gap rushing plays, Most in the NFL.

3.)Jaylen Waddle has caught 333 yards on post routes this season. Most in the league by 135 yards. That gap would be 8th on the list.

4.)Juwan Johnson has a 20% TD catch rate. 7 TDs on 35 receptions.

5.) The Houston Texans are FIRST in Rushing TDS allowed and LAST in Receiving touchdowns given up 

If you love our show and want to support everything we do for you and have fun placing bets with us, head on to PrizePicks. PrizePicks offers a 100% Deposit Match for our people, up to $100. Click the button above to take you right there to sign up to get in on the action below! 

Earlier this week, one of the 2023 QBs decided to return to school for at least another year. You’ve seen this QB play in the SEC, starting as a true freshman, and now you’ve seen him take his talents to Eugene, Oregon, and light up the Pac-12. Now, Bo Nix will be making a Heisman Trophy run in 2023.

After a few very up and down years at Auburn, former Five-star prospect Bo Nix decided to transfer to Oregon, a move that may have saved his career. After three shaky years, in which he probably peaked as a true freshman, the QB took the Pac-12 by storm, posting almost 4000 total yards and 41 TDs. He also upped his completion percentage by over 10% year over year from 2021. Lastly, he drastically increased his adjusted yards per attempt by over two full yards.

I truly do believe Nix has a shot at the Heisman Trophy in 2023. Troy Franklin (2024 WR) along with Jurrion Dickey, the 5-star, #2 WR in the 2023 prospect Class, will be two main weapons for Nix. If they can put a good offseason together, look out for the Oregon offense in 2023.

Happy Holidays to everyone!  We are about to really turn the corner into rookie mode as our fantasy seasons wind down.  Narratives will be driven, and players will rise and fall as we go through the off-season.  This week I bring to you my 2023 Rookie Wish List.  Let’s get it!

Wish #1: At least four quarterbacks are taken in the first round of the NFL draft.  During the month of December, we have Bryce Young and CJ Stroud still holding the fort down at 1.02 and 1.03, but with the declarations of Will Levis and Anthony Richardson, we now have all four of these guys taken by 1.06.  Hopefully, the NFL believes enough in all four of these guys to blast an early pick at them, unlike last year, where we saw a catastrophe at the position with all but one falling into the third round or later.  With how important QB is for fantasy, people will take these rookie QBs earlier and thus drive down the rest of the skill position players to cheaper costs as well.

Wish #2: The option of Michael Mayer being available in the late first of rookie drafts.  Our indisputable TE1 of the 2023 class, we have seen his value shift over the course of the season from mid-first to mid-second and anything in between.  Michael Mayer currently sits as our 1.12 at the end of the first round.  There is little doubt he will earn first-round NFL draft capital and become a day-one starter for whichever team selects him.  If you aren’t sold on him here, I promise someone else in your league will be open to trade for him.

Wish #3: Devon Achane gains 15 pounds by The Combine.  Achane being listed at 185 lbs just isn’t going to cut it for me in terms of historical comparisons.  Fantasy success at the running back position can still happen. It just puts him in an outlier situation where it is extremely hard for me to bet on from an analytics perspective.  The Texas A&M RB is going at 2.03 right now in our mocks.

Wish#4:Blake Corum is actually 5’8” (or taller).  I have heard rumors that Corum is actually more like 5’6”, and we won’t know until he gets his official measurements done at the combine.  Like Devon Achane, this would cause a problem for me analytically compared to other prospects that check the boxes for requisite height and weight.  Corum is going at 2.05 in December.

Wish #5: Everyone important stays completely healthy.  Not that I wish ill on anyone less important, but we do not need to wake up one day to reports of Bijan Robinson tearing his ACL preparing for The Combine.  Imagine being so close to getting into the NFL only to crater your draft stock over an injury, not even playing a meaningful game of football?  Situations like this can be the difference between massive amounts of money and fame versus becoming “just another guy.”

Lamar Jackson (knee) remains out of practice and is once again unlikely to play, though I think he may be able to return for week 17. Jalen Hurts (shoulder) still hurts and has been ruled out, so get ready for Minshew Mania in Philly. Colt McCoy (concussion) has been ruled out, but hopefully, Trace McSorley can keep the offense afloat for all of our sakes. Russell Wilson (concussion) cleared protocol last week but was held out as a precaution, with the expectation that he would play this week. Ryan Tannehill (ankle) is ruled out, meaning Malik Willis will be starting.

Jonathan Taylor (high ankle) has been placed on IR, with Zack Moss likely taking the majority of touches and Deon Jackson taking a receiving role. Nick Chubb (foot) was taken off of the injury report and should be good to go, so hopefully, we can play him with full confidence (you aren’t benching Nick Chubb). Khalil Herbert (hip) will be activated and be able to play this week, though not sure what his usage will look like for fantasy purposes. Latavius Murray (foot) was limited in practice but didn’t practice on Thursday, though it may be a rest day for him, so keep an eye on his status for game time. Aaron Jones (knee) has now been listed on the injury report over the last 4 weeks with a shin, foot, ankle, and now knee injury, and while expected to still play, this likely continues the hot streak for AJ Dillon. Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) is listed as questionable after practicing in a limited capacity all week, but given how he performed last week, you’re starting him. Kenneth Walker (ankle/back) is listed as questionable but is expected to play.

Marquise Brown (groin) has been limited in practice, so keep an eye on his status, though he won’t have the typical ceiling with McSorley at QB. Devin Duvernay (Jones fracture) will be getting season-ending surgery, so Demarcus Robinson fully slots in as the team’s WR1, though expect more touches for Isaiah Likely. Courtland Sutton (hamstring) has upgraded to a limited participant and may have a shot at playing this week. Brandin Cooks (calf) is expected to be able to return this week, but I would exercise caution, considering this is round 2 of fantasy playoffs, and he hasn’t played in a while. Jakobi Meyers (shoulder) is listed as questionable after practicing in a limited capacity all week. Chris Olave (hamstring) is ruled out, while Jarvis Landry (ankle) has been placed on IR, so Rashid Shaheed might be worth a look if you’re desperate and want to sweat on your way to the championship round. Diontae Johnson (toe) did not practice Thursday but told reporters he will be at practice on Friday and expects to play this week. Deebo Samuel (knee/ankle) remains out of practice but has been jogging and running on the sideline, so he might be able to return in week 17. Treylon Burks (concussion) is listed as questionable but is expected to play, though I would avoid him with Malik Willis at QB.

Hayden Hurst (calf) is listed as questionable, though I would avoid him for fantasy until we see his usage. Dallas Goedert (AC sprain) will be playing this week, but we’ll see what the production looks like with Minshew at QB. Given terrible weather concerns and with Landry/Olave out, Taysom Hill may wind up being a decent play this week.

There are many more updates, especially after full injury reports come out, so be sure to tune in to the Destination Devy Injury Pod that drops on Sunday morning before setting your lineups, and follow me @jmthrivept for live updates.

Beyond the Mic🎙

Mcnutted pleads with us to go get that money!

It’s time. The money rounds are here. Most leagues pay out a 2nd place with an opportunity to at least get your buy-in for 2022 back. This week means you are getting there IF you win. This is what we signed up for in dynasty leagues. Furthermore, the shot at the elusive title brings not only bragging rights but also financial gain if you are to win this week and win in week 17. 

Let’s look at the financial impact of winning. I commish and run a ton of leagues(15+), and most of them are $50 buy-ins. A championship for most of these leagues grosses you $400. Subtract the buy-in from 2022, and that’s a net profit of $350. I’m no math expert, but that’s 7 future years of league dues that are on the house. Even the most dumpster fire nuclear rebuilds can be competitive in 3-4 years. And yet, with all that said, in leagues that don’t have a trade deadline, I watch time and again managers turn down moves that can lock up or, at the very least, vastly increase those odds at a title and the money. Why? We play a game called dynasty, that is a fact, but when faced with the prospect of playing for FREE for years in a league, managers turtle up and fall back on “long term.” The long game applies when you aren’t in the money rounds. Your focus should be right here and now if you’re in this spot. The beautiful thing is people will still apply the dynasty value to potential deals. Jalen Hurts not playing for you this week? Someone out there will let you stay in Top 12 QB territory on a swap, including one of the likes of TLaw, Fields, Dak, etc., who will score points this week and next! No Chris Olave for you this week? Good thing people still value him as a top 12 DYNASTY WR and will let you pivot 1 for 1 into Michael Pittman, Christian Kirk, or Terry McLaurin. Hell, you might even get a plus!

Point is, don’t turtle up now. Be aggressive, and scour the market. Secure the bag. There is no time like the present to push the chips all in. Winning Leagues > Winning Trades.

-McNutted

 @FantasyGenes gives us his two matchups for week 16.

Let’s get into the matchups!

Derrick Henry vs Texans

The last four times King Henry has seen the Texans, he has averaged 30-223-2tds. I believe owners should expect a great Christmas story written by King Henry.  The Texans' defense since Week 10:

• Allowed 5th most rush yards per game (124)

• Allowed 9th most fantasy pts (26.8)

• 32nd in rush DVOA

• PrizePicks currently has his rush line at 105.5.

Keenan Allen vs Colts

Since Week 11, Allen has seen the 2nd most targets in the NFL with 52.  Allen has lined up in the slot 71% of the time and has averaged 5 receptions on 7 targets for 12.6 fantasy points from the slot since he’s returned from injury.  The Colts defense since Week 10:

• Allowed the 6th most fantasy pts to the slot WR (23.8)

• Allowed the 5th most fantasy pts to WRs (41.9)

• Allowed the 7th most rec yards to WRs (173)

• 32nd in pass DVOA

• No line on PrizePicks yet.

 @EricVanekNFL gives us his best lineup options in Week 16.

Playoffs, playoffs, playoffs! We’re in the thick of it now, and it’s go time. Hopefully, once again, this article can help give you some good players to start if you’re desperate this week.

I will be looking at FantasyPros ECR rankings to give you a look at guys outside the top 12 at QB, top 24 RB, top 36 WR, and top 12 at TE as some sleeper options to play this week.

At the QB spot this week I am going to roll with QB Jared Goff against the Carolina Panthers. Goff has been playing really well as of late; one of the hottest teams in the league who need to keep winning in order to make it to the postseason. Amon Ra has been hot, and I love having a piece of this offense right now. Fire up some Goff this week, and I don't think you’ll be disappointed with the results if you lost Jalen Hurts.

At the RB spot this week, I'm going to go with RB 35, and that is Zack Moss of the Colts. Now the Colts switched QBs again with Foles. They have shown they want to run the ball, and with JT out the rest of the year, Moss is the guy. He led them in carries last week and looked solid, and he is now in a plus matchup against a bad Chargers run defense. I think the Colts are going to super focus in on the run here, and I could see Moss having a really big game here. I would fire him up as an RB2 pretty easily this week.

At the WR spot, I am going with WR42 Marquise Goodwin of the Seahawks. Up against the Chiefs, you know the Seahawks will have to throw the ball, which is one of the best ways to beat KC. Their secondary is average at best, and Goodwin should replace what Tyler Lockett was doing. I think Goodwin has as good of a shot as anyone this week to have a big week here and I am going to fire up some Goodwin in my lineups this week.

At the TE spot this week, I think I will fire up Taysom Hill at the TE Spot. Against Clevelands' bad run D, and cold weather, I think a lot of running will be happening in this game, and I can see Taysom having some success here against Cleveland in the ground game. I can def. See a TD around the goal line as well for him. I would be ok firing up some Taysom Hill to get that upside here in the in the fantasy playoffs!

Good luck to everyone this week! 

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