⛽️🔥 The Case for Toney/ 25 Prospect ADP

Fast Five facts/Injury reports and More

Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy! 

Fast Five Facts leading into Week Nine

All Stats Are Courtesy of The 33rd Team's Edge 

1.) Tua Tagovailoa has the highest completion percentage under pressure at 61%.

2.) Derrick Henry has a screen rate of 18% on his 50 routes run this season.

3.) Deandre Hopkins has a 37.5% target share so far. If he maintains that it would be first by 4% on the second on the list (Cooper Kupp)

4.)Taysom Hill has only seen targets on 11.1% of his routes. The worst of any fantasy TE 1.

5.) The Pittsburgh Steelers have allowed 13 touchdowns to the Wideout position. Most in the league


Week 9 NFL Prop bet courtesy of MySpari.Com

Morning Friends! Tyreek came through early last week en route to a huge day. I think I found another one for us:

DeAndre Hopkins o6.5 REC -135 DK Sportsbook

It's a bit juiced but I am drinking it. This prop line is 1 full value too low and I would not be shocked to see it move to 7.5 and finish -115 or so by Sunday morning of Week 9.

Hopkins played in 61 of 66 snaps in his first game of the season in Week 1 and then played 99% of the snaps in Week 2.

He garnered 14 targets and then 13 targets in those two games, hauling in 10 and 12 receptions to boot.

Tons of snaps. Tons of targets. Massive upside.

I am in for 2 units!

Let’s get paid!

Week Ten College Football Pick 

It took until the end of last week, but Chase Brown came through for us. We found another RB prop that should do well for us.

Blake Corum OVER 135.5 Rushing yards

Corum has been the engine of the Wolverine offense this season and has delivered each week. This week he faces a Rutgers defense that has allowed 252 yards to the Ohio State offense and 253 to the Minnesota Badgers just last week. Michigan loves to run the rock, and Corum should continue to smash his overs.

 Click the button below and tail the Blake Corum play! Best of Luck

If you love our show and want to support everything we do for you and have fun placing bets with us, head on to PrizePicks. PrizePicks offers a 100% Deposit Match for our people, up to $100. Click the button above to take you right there to sign up to get in on the action below! 

The Curious Case of Kadarius Toney

When Kadarius Toney was drafted to the New York Giants at the 20th overall pick, he was an absolute fade for me immediately. Toney barely saw the field, not only during his freshman year but also during his sophomore and junior seasons at Florida. In those three seasons, he totaled 97 touches for 1025 total yards as a utility player, taking hand-offs, being the wildcat QB, and catching passes. The explosiveness was there, but there was not enough production for any true breakout. During his final season, Toney finally settled in at WR and put up 1145 total yards on only 89 touches, including 11 touchdowns. The lack of early production worried me. Toney’s final dominator was 23.7%, and his breakout age was late at 21.6 years old. 

However, even with the first-round draft capital, we saw Toney mostly going in the mid-to-late second round in the 2021 Superflex Rookie Drafts. At that cost, I took some dart throws. I didn’t expect much from him in his first year as he was a very raw player. We did see an explosive game and the potential when Toney had ten receptions for 189 yards against the Dallas Cowboys. Other than that, Toney had a quiet year in terms of overall counting metrics. 

Despite the lack of collegiate production and the low-volume rookie year, Toney was an absolute buy for me in year two. Based on their rookie year performance, Toney fell into the elite bucket in my testing (model shown below). He scored more than 5.7 PPR points per game (Toney had 8.2), and he registered a yards per route run higher than the 1.70 threshold needed (Toney had 2.14, which was only behind Ja’Marr Chase). Plain and simple, he was great when Kadarius Toney was on the field.

With the move to Kansas City, what are you doing with Kadarius Toney? I know some people are selling for a second-round pick. I cannot bring myself to do that right now. The hype is too high, and you could receive a lot more with a big game or two.

When it comes to devy, I have to admit I am not too enthusiastic about investing in the incoming freshman.  In the best-case scenario, these assets come to fruition on your dynasty roster three years from now as NFL rookies.  In today’s dynasty landscape, that is a very long time, so this week I want to highlight some of the 2025 prospects that have given you a window to possibly sell for better assets.

Quinshon Judkins (RB, Ole Miss) - This freshman Rebel has skyrocketed up our devy mock boards in October more than any other prospect from the 2025 class with an ADP of 28.6 and is up two full rounds since September.  Judkins leads the SEC in rushing attempts (180) and touchdowns (14) to this point in the season and has become the preferred option for Ole Miss in the run game.  Our most recent mock saw Judkins go 12th overall after he ran for over 200 yards against Texas A&M this past week.  I would use this opportunity to sell Judkins on the hype if you can find a deal that’s appealing.

Evan Stewart (WR, Texas A&M) - Few freshmen can walk onto their team and become a focal point of their offense, but Evan Stewart seems to have no trouble for the Aggies. So far, he has put up 38 receptions for 478 yards and two touchdowns on the season, with at least six receptions in his last three games. Stewart has one of the highest weighted dominator ratings from the 2025 WR class at 22.4% as he continues to carve out his role in the offense. His ADP of 49.3 is up seven spots this month, and he is valued as the WR2 from the 2025 class. Find a Texas A&M homer and move him for someone coming out sooner if you can.

Tetairoa McMillan (WR, Arizona) - At 6’5”, 205lbs, this young man has produced very well in this Wildcat offense to the tune of 31 receptions for 532 yards and six touchdowns as a freshman.  He has the speed to beat defenders outside and the size to go up and get it when called upon.  Even with this production as a freshman, his ADP is relatively low at 57.8 this month, and he ranks as WR5 from the 2025 class.  In that range for our ADP, I would rather have Jaylin Hyatt (WR, Tennessee) from the 2023 class two years sooner.

If you haven’t learned by now, we simply can’t have nice things in fantasy football. We have now lost Rashod Bateman (Lisfranc surgery) and Michael Thomas (dislocated 2nd toe… really…) for the season and may wind up having a few stars miss this week.

Ryan Tannehill (ankle) went from LP to DNP on Thursday, so keep an eye on his status for this week.

Jonathan Taylor (ankle) remains a DNP and has stated he is receiving treatment around the clock in an attempt to play this week, so I hope you're stashing Deon Jackson still. Derrick Henry (foot) went from LP to DNP on Thursday, though it has been designated as a veterans/rest day, and Henry told reports that he is playing this week. Cordarelle Patterson (knee), on the other hand, may be returning this week as he ramps up practice reps. Gus Edwards (hamstring) didn't practice on Thursday, though he still has a few days to practice for their Monday night game, but I don't anticipate him playing this week with their bye week next week. James Conner (ribs) was able to practice in a limited capacity and might finally be able to return to the field. Chuba Hubbard (ankle) has been able to practice in a limited capacity, though he told reporters he's still in the rehab phase, so he will likely miss at least one more week. Cam Akers (hurt my feelings) is back at practice with the Rams, and I have a gut feeling that since Sean McVay loves him, if he's active this week, he'll probably receive a decent amount of touches, but we'll see. Damien Harris (illness) remains out of practice but probably still has a chance to suit up (it's the Rhamondre show anyways).

Cooper Kupp (ankle) got in a limited practice on Thursday and continues to state he plans on playing. Allen Lazard (shoulder) was able to get in a little practice, but we’ll have to wait and see his availability for this week. Keenan Allen (hamstring) reportedly had a setback during their bye week and is likely to miss several weeks again, leaving Joshua Palmer to serve as the team’s WR1 until Allen or Mike Williams returns. Jarvis Landry (ankle) has returned to practice and has a decent chance to return this week. Corey Davis (MCL sprain) remains out of practice; I would expect him to miss this week. Jahan Dotson (hamstring) remains absent from practice, so likely miss another week.

Darren Waller (hamstring) has been able to practice in a limited fashion and may be able to return to the field this week. Brock Wright (concussion) remains in the protocol, so after the Hockenson trade, the Lions may wind up relying heavily on James Mitchell this week. Logan Thomas (calf) remains a limited participant, but he's not yet sure he’s worth a start in fantasy.

There are many more updates, especially after full injury reports come out, so be sure to tune in to the Destination Devy Injury Pod that drops on Sunday morning before setting your lineups, and follow me @jmthrivept for live updates.

Beyond the Mic🎙

Mike gives the readers some advice on our dynasty benches.

Bench size in bestball. I know we've been down this road before but I can't stress the influence it should have on roster construction. Rebuilding teams can ignore this, contenders I'm looking at you. We'll focus strictly on bench size today. Deep benches(roster size of 30+) have a lot of wiggle room for speculation buys. Meaning those players who will probably give 0s because they are hurt or are waiting to get a playing time increase are not optimal, but passable. It doesn't hurt you bad enough to make too much of a difference in the season's outcome.  The benches that are strapped for space(<30 or IDP) can't really afford to make these speculation buys. You need almost every single resource you have to be putting points on the field week in and week out. Guys like James Micthell are speculation buys. Could he pop soon? Absolutely, but what if he doesn't? Your waiver wire probably has a much better option floating out there that could make your lineup this very week. The most likely scenario is there is a guy hanging out that is currently producing what you hope a speculation play like Mitchell will become. Don't fall into the lottery ticket trap. Invest wisely.

 @FantasyGenes gives us his two matchups for week Nine.

Let's get into the matchups that I like this week.

Aaron Jones vs Lions

The last time Jones played the Lions was in 2021 Week 2, and he put on a show. Sixty-seven rush yards, six receptions for 48 yards, and 3 TDS. Jones finished as the RB2 for the week, only behind Derrick Henry going crazy vs. the Seahawks. I think Jones can have a great performance again. The Detroit defense:

  • Allowed the 3rd most rush yards per game (122) 

  • Allowed the 3rd most fantasy pts to RBs per game (27.4)

  • Allowed the 4th most yards per carry (5.2)

  • 4th most red zone fantasy points per game (8.6)

Start Aaron Jones with confidence and you can play AJ Dillon if dealing with bye weeks.

Bengals pass catchers vs Panthers

The Bengals are without JaMarr Chase again but they still have a couple of good WRs in Higgins and Boyd.  Carolina's defense has struggled to get to the QB with only 12 sacks and bottom 3rd of the league in pressure rate so this adds up to a defense I would expect Burrow and his weapons to get right against.  The Panthers' defense in the last 3 weeks:

  • Allowed the 5th most fantasy pts to WRs per game (42.3)

  • Allowed the 5th most fantasy pts to WRs that line up outside per game (19.1)

  • Allowed the 2nd most receptions to WRs per game (17)

  • Allowed the 8th most yards to WRs per game (168)

  • Allowed 179 yards to the TE position the last 2 weeks

  • 27th in pass DVOA

Start Higgins and Boyd with confidence.  Fire up Hayden Hurst also.

 @EricVanekNFL gives us his best options in Week Nine.

Another bye-week apocalypse! 6 teams on Bye this week! So we are going to need some help fielding some lineups this week and finding some hidden gems to start in your lineups this week. Hopefully, this article has helped you throughout the year, and we’re hoping to do the same this week.

I will be looking at FantasyPros ECR rankings to give you a look at guys outside the top 12 at QB, top 24 RB, top 36 WR, and top 12 at TE as some sleeper options to play this week.

At QB this week, I’m going to go with QB Marcus Mariota at home vs. the Chargers. Mariota has done pretty well at home this year; he’s been rushing the ball and can add another 40-60 rushing yards. In this game, they may throw the ball a little bit again like they did last week against a struggling Chargers defense. I think Mariota is a great streamer this week, and hopefully, his rushing yards and a couple of TDs can propel you to a solid fantasy streamer week.

At RB, I am going to go with Isiah Pacheco of the Kansas City Chiefs. The rumor two weeks ago was he was starting, and I think after a bye week, they’re going to let this really show this week. Andy Reid is tremendous coming off a bye week a week to prepare for their opponent, and I think with that week, they can really use that to install Pacheco as the guy from here on out. So I will throw Pacheco out this week and see how it goes. I hope I am right on this, but I can see Pacheco finally getting in the end zone this week.

At WR, I am going to dig deep this week, WR 46, and that is one Terrace Marshall Jr who has come on since the trade of Robbie Anderson. Marshall has been good, and I think against the Bengals, who are really banged up at the CB spot. I think Marshall has a chance to finally get in the end zone here and put up some excellent numbers for you this week. At WR 46, you can’t ask much for else here.

Lastly, at TE this week, I will roll again with TE Tyler Conklin. With the Jets just burying Elijah Moore, the Jets need more passing options. The Bills could put up a lot of points here like they have all season long, and I think the Jets will have to throw again. So I guess Conklin is a nice safety blanket for Wilson. So I’m ok throwing Conklin in there this week if I need a solid TE who will score me some points this week. 

Good luck to everyone here in Week 9! 

Podcasts This Week 

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