Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy!

VIDEO OF THE WEEK

Week 5 NFL Prop bet courtesy of MySpari.Com

Cooper Kupp o94.5 REC YDS -115 DK Sportsbook

We are back with another Coooooop player prop. Mr. Consistent has been absolutely SUPERB.

If you take away his 3 games against the Arizona Cardinals, Kupp has 92+ receiving yards in 22 of his last 22 games and has had 95+ in 20 of 22 games.

I will slam this over at 94.5 for 2U and if it moves to 95.5 I am personally just going to stay away.

Let’s get paid!

-DFSnDonuts

Week 6 College Football Pick

We've hit the halfway mark already in the college football season (WOW!). Last week Jrich's player Michael Wiley had 2 touchdowns.....But they were both of the receiving variety (*insert sad trombone music)

This week the play of the week is Anthony grant OVER 100.5 Rushing Yards.

Grant has averaged 121.6 rushing yards on the season and faces a Rutgers team who just gave up 252 total rushing yards to the Ohio State Buckeyes. The Cornhuskers are not the Buckeyes, but Grant has gone over this number four of his five games this season.

Overall, Ray has a CFB record on the season of 15-6-1. Click the button below and tail the Anthony Grant play! Best of Luck

If you love our show and want to support everything we do for you and have fun placing bets with us, head on to PrizePicks. PrizePicks offers a 100% Deposit Match for our people, up to $100. Click the button above to take you right there to sign up to get in on the action below!

Coming into the 2022 NCAA season, PFF’s Mike Renner had Achane ranked #2, only behind Texas’ Bijan Robinson, on his Early 2023 NFL Draft Running Back Rankings. “Achane has more of the one uncoachable skill than any other running back in college football: speed. He boasts a 100-meter personal record of 10.12 seconds. He’s not the first fast human being to play running back, though. No, Achane earns his lofty status on this list because he’s skilled in a number of other ways on top of that game-changing speed,” said Renner.

This is just one SMALL part of the work that goes into JB's analytic database. To gain access to these types of charts and much more subscribe at the All-American level tier below!

Stocks are on the rise for the 2024 class. This week, I want to highlight two of my favorite wide receivers, Ohio State sophomores Emeka Egbuka and Marvin Harrison Jr. Neither of these guys did much last year, being behind two first-round draft selections in Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson. With Jaxon Smith-Njigba missing time this season due to a hamstring injury, these future stars have capitalized on the opportunity that has presented itself. The interesting part for me is our ADP on both of these guys, with Marvin at 17.6 and Emeka at 31.9 right now. Being the son of an NFL legend is no doubt propelling the name of Marvin Harrison Jr, but if I can have the same type of production profile out of Emeka Egbuka, I will take that value at cost all day.

On the flip side, Alabama recruited Ja’Corey Brooks and JoJo Earle from the 2024 wide receiver group with nowhere near the results Ohio State has seen so far. Admittedly, JoJo Earle has been unhealthy up until last week, battling a foot injury since August, but Ja’Corey Brooks has played all five games this season with dismal results. Two receptions a game simply isn’t going to cut it when it comes to the requisite production. I need to have faith in someone long-term. One of the top quarterbacks in the country is behind center at Alabama, Bryce Young, so it’s not like these wide receivers are dealing with incompetence. In our five-round devy mocks, both Alabama receivers are largely undrafted, and I see no reason for this to change.

As a bonus from last week, below is the Destination Devy 2023 Rookie ADP as of September 30th.

We have our first bye weeks approaching next week, so be sure to consider both bye weeks and injuries as the season progresses. Week 6 Bye Weeks include: Detroit Lions, Houston Texans, Las Vegas Raiders, and Tennessee Titans. Those will likely have implications on various returns from injury.

D’Andre Swift (left AC sprain) and Amon-Ra St. Brown (right high ankle sprain) are the two key players who will likely be impacted by the bye weeks, as I expect both of them to sit one more game and return for week 7. Treylon Burks (turf toe) will also fall into this category, although I believe he wouldn’t be close to playing for this week anyways and may not be ready for a week seven return.

Dak Prescott (right thumb) continues to have pain and swelling, so I would not be shocked if we don’t see him return around week 7-8 (DAL has a week nine bye, so hopefully, we can see him return before then). Mac Jones (ankle) will likely remain out, so with Brian Hoyer (concussion) now on IR, the Patriots will be led by Bailey Zappe. Daniel Jones (high ankle) actually has a chance at playing this week, as his case is reportedly mild and should hold up well to heavy taping. Jameis Winston (back/ankle) remains out of practice. Tom Brady (shoulder/finger) is expected to play, as early reports indicate his finger simply felt weird after Gisele the Victorian Witch forcibly removed the ring from it.

Alvin Kamara (ribs) has returned to practice, and the expectation is that he will be able to return to play this week. David Montgomery (ankle) is expected to practice and play this week, per source, but keep an eye on his practice status. Breece Hall (knee) has now been limited to two practices, although the staff has said he’s simply dealing with nicks and bruises so I would watch his status closely. Rashaad Penny (shoulder) has been limited, but the injury is not expected to keep him from playing this week. Brian Robinson has a decent chance to make his debut this week, a remarkable recovery from an awful situation this preseason.

Rashod Bateman (midfoot sprain) will likely miss one or two games, depending on the severity and ability to practice. Gabriel Davis (ankle) remains limited by his ankle injury, but as @BangedUpBills suggests, he may be a good buy low to production post-week seven byes. Tee Higgins (ankle) suffered a mild ankle sprain Thursday Night, but it is not expected to keep him from playing. Jahan Dotson (hamstring) is expected to miss at least one to two games, while Curtis Samuel (illness) continues to miss practices so keep an eye on the latter’s status for game day. Hunter Renfrow (concussion) was spotted participating in practice, and his return likely depends on his ability to practice without any symptoms. Jaylen Waddle (groin) has been able to practice, so I do believe this is more of a week-to-week maintenance plan by Miami to have him limited in certain practices leading up to game days. At some point, I’ll have to stop talking about Kadarius Toney (hamstring) since I’m only supposed to speak about fantasy-relevant players, but word is he got a limited practice on Wednesday and may have suffered another setback, as he was unable to practice on Thursday.

Of note, Kyle Pitts (hamstring) has been unable to practice, putting his status for week 5 in jeopardy so keep an eye on his status. David Njoku (knee) has been managing a knee sprain but continues to play, so anticipate him having rest days/DNP throughout the season until it is closer to 100%. Dawson Knox (hamstring) has now dealt with a foot, back, hip, and new hamstring injury this season across 4 weeks, so you may want to continue to find a pivot. TJ Hockenson (hip) has been managing hip discomfort for the last 2 weeks or so, so anticipate him playing again this week.

Key Downgrades:

Wednesday to Thursday, Tyreek Hill (quad) was downgraded from FP to LP, Diontae Johnson (hip) was downgraded from FP to LP, CeeDee Lamb (groin) was downgraded from FP to LP, and Gerald Everett (hamstring) was downgraded from FP to LP. Any time a player gets downgraded mid-week, it is generally not good but this year seems to have a lot of “precautionary” limited rep days in practice so far. Simply keep an eye on these players’ status. We will know more by Friday and Saturday.

There are many more updates, especially after full injury reports. Be sure to tune in to the Destination Devy Injury Pod that drops on Sunday morning before setting your lineups, and follow me @jmthrivept for live updates.

Beyond the Mic🎙

@ATM explains to us why staying attached to a player in a rebuild could be a bad process.

Four weeks of the season are in the books, and week 5 starts Thursday with the Broncos and Colts game. The game that was supposed to feature two young stud running backs viewed by many as potential league winners now is featuring Nyheim Hines versus Melvin Gordon and Mike Boone. Yikes. We have already seen so much attrition in 4 weeks, and it is showing no signs of slowing down. On top of the fact that we have injuries piling up, you really need to keep in mind that bye weeks start next week. If you are a contending roster, take an intense look at your team and depth. Do you have three quarterbacks that you would feel comfortable starting? Could your team handle 3 to 4 injuries to the wide receiver and running back positions? If the answer to either of those questions is “no,” do you have liquid currency with rookie picks to help replace an injury blow?

When you ask those questions and look at your team through that lens, you might realize your strong contender is more fragile than you expected. The good news is you may be having this realization before the potential catastrophe has taken place. Let’s talk about how you can address this now.

Right now, if you have A.J. Brown on your team, you are feeling excellent about his play, his connection with Jalen Hurts, and how he has been scoring points for your fantasy team. This may make you hesitant to trade him, but what happens if A.J. Brown has an untimely injury for your team? Last year he missed four weeks (essentially 5 when you include him getting hurt early in week 3), he hit IR right during the fantasy playoffs, and he hasn’t played an entire season since 2019. Could he stay healthy? Absolutely he could, but what if you could protect yourself from this risk but also replicate his points in your lineup? Does this sound too good to be true? What if I told you it’s not? Insert the tier-down approach.

The tier-down approach is a great way to increase your depth and, if executed correctly, still leave your starting roster very strong. There are multiple ways to approach this, but I will give you an example using Dynasty Berry’s WoRP data and keeptradecut.com for trade values. A.J. Brown is dynasty WR3 on keeptradecut.com, and according to Berry’s 2022 WoRP spreadsheet, he is 9th at the receiver position at 1.40. One spot below A.J. Brown is Christian Kirk at 1.37. Keeptradecut.com has Christian Kirk as the WR26 using their crowdsourced data, and according to their trade calculator, A.J. Brown will net you Christian Kirk and a late 2023 1st. Based on what we have seen in the first four weeks of the season, Christian Kirk looks poised to be very close to A.J. Brown in points per game, and now you also have a 1st in your pocket to protect yourself from injuries to either Christian Kirk or another player on your team. The best-case scenario would be that you can avoid injuries for the remainder of the season. As then fantasy football playoffs approach, you can leverage that pick to strengthen your roster even further!

You may not get that exact deal done in your league, but that is the idea and there is a plethora of players and options to which you can apply the tier down approach.

When your league mates are playing chess, play 4D chess.

-ATM

You can check out all the content that the 4D Guys dropped this past week ⬇️

 @FantasyGenes has some ideas on how to treat these early-season RB producers

Fantasy has had a funky start through the first 4 games. We got players like Jared Goff and Clyde Edwards-Helaire sitting in the Top 5 in their particular positions. I am here to talk about a player that is ranked RB23 currently and you should be looking to trade for.

Devin Singletary is an RB that you should target in your leagues. In the last two weeks, we have seen usage go up as the Bills have been dealing with injuries, playing more formidable opponents, and have been RB12. In week 4, we saw Singletary have a 79% route participation, play 87% of snaps, and have 55% of the rushing attempts. These numbers are in line with how he finished the last seven games of the 2021 season, including the playoff run, and we saw how well he played. Moss and Cook have not seen any inside the five carries, 2 mins offense, or long down and distance snaps. Also, Singletary is # 1 in routes ran for RBs at 99….opportunity to participate in the passing game is key for RBs(especially in PPR leagues).

Go to your leagues and get some Devin Singletary before everyone catches on!

 @EricVanekNFL gives us his best options in Week Five.

Week 5 is upon us and last week was not so good for this column but we’re going to rebound here this week and get us some great picks outside the top picks this week for you in Week 5.

I will be looking at FantasyPros ECR rankings to give you a look at guys outside the top 12 at QB, top 24 RB, top 36 WR, and top 12 at TE as some sleeper options to play this week.

At QB this week, I am going with the NFL record holder for the highest completion percentage through four weeks in NFL history. Everyone saw this coming, right? …..Right?.... No?.... Geno Smith! Geno has been what the Seahawks wanted him to be. An excellent game manager who isn’t turning the ball over. He’s making the right reads and throws now and has been good so far. This week he goes against the Saints DEF that just got beat up a little by Minnesota. I think Geno is in line for another solid game on the road, just like he did against Detroit last week. If I need a QB this week, why not go with Geno here, who can do a little bit on the ground for you?

At the RB spot this weekend, I will take the easy route and go with RB25, according to ECR, Breece Hall. Breece has been steadily taking over that backfield week by week now. He’s running many routes, and I think this is when Breece takes a stranglehold on this backfield and posts some excellent fantasy numbers.I am looking forward to seeing what Breece can do in what could be a potentially high-scoring match against Miami this weekend.

This week at WR I am going to go to the old vet, Robert Woods of the Tennessee Titans. Washington has been getting torched in the air as of late and with Tennessee losing Burks for a few weeks I think Robert Woods should absolutely get force-fed here in a good situation. If I got Robert Woods I am going to easily fire him up in this matchup. If you have Woods and you’re not playing him this week then what's the point of having him?

TE has been the position of yuck again this year, but I think this week I will go back to my pick last week, and that is TE Logan Thomas for Washington. He had an ok last week; he’s running many routes and should get the usage this week. Another significant factor here is that Jahan Dotson will also miss a few games. I think this should mean even more potential work for Logan here. Like him in this match-up against Tennessee after Indianapolis just scorched them with TEs last week. I love this play this week.

Good luck to everyone here in Week 5!

Five Facts leading into Week 5

(All stats courtesy of the 33rd Team Edge)

1.) Jalen Hurts is averaging 9.1 Yards per attempt. That's first in QBs who have played all season

2.) Josh Jacobs leads running backs with 13 missed tackles. For context, that's .19 per rushing attempt.

3.) Davante Adams has a 55.3% Catch percentage on 47 targets. If this % holds, it would be his worst catch percentage since 2015.

4.) Will Dissly has 3 Touchdowns while only commanding a 9.3% target share in Seattle

5.) The San Fransisco 49ers allow 2.9 YPC. They are the only team currently allowing less than 3 yards per rush.

Podcasts This Week

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