⛽️🔥 Devy ADP Riser and Faller/ Week 11 Options

Fast Five facts/Injury reports and More

Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy!

Fast Five Facts leading into Week Eleven

All Stats Are Courtesy of The 33rd Team's Edge

1.) Patrick Mahomes has been hurried or pressured on 42.4% of his dropbacks.

2.) Aaron Jones leads all RBs in Broken tackles per attempt at .21 (minimum 100 snaps)

3.) Chris Olave leads all rookie wideouts in Target market air yard share at 42%

4.) Taysom Hill is TE6 for fantasy with only 3 catches on the year.

5.) The Atlanta Falcons allow the MOST fantasy points to the slot position with 238.5.

VIDEO OF THE WEEK

NBA Prop bet courtesy of MySpari.Com

Buddy Hield o22.5 PTS AST -115 DK Sportsbook

The public likely going to be all over Tyrese Haliburton today for the Indiana Pacers. And to be honest, me too. But I love this under-the-radar play.

When playing 28 minutes or more as a Pacer (he was traded to them in the middle of last season), Buddy has smashed the over in 70% of his games. He’s also red hot at this prop line, hitting the over in 8 of the last nine games.

Give me the over.

Let’s get paid!

Week 12 College Football Pick

Travis Dye went down with a season-ending injury eliminating any chance of our pick to cash. But that won't stop us from coming back this week with another opportunity.

Zach Charbonnet Over 125.5 rushing yards

The Senior running back has had a stellar season, and against the Trojan defense, he should continue to roll. Charbonnet has cleared this line in 4 straight by 25 yards+. In a close game, (spread is 2.5 at the time of writing), I'd expect the Bruins running back to see 20+ carries on his way to easily cover this number.

Click the button below and tail the Charbonnet play! Best of Luck

If you love our show and want to support everything we do for you and have fun placing bets with us, head on to PrizePicks. PrizePicks offers a 100% Deposit Match for our people, up to $100. Click the button above to take you right there to sign up to get in on the action below!

One of the biggest risers in the 2023 Draft Class has been TCU’s, Kendre Miller. The third-year RB finally has control over the Horned Frogs’ backfield after splitting with Ole Miss’ Zach Evans and has not looked back. Needless to say, he is having a big junior year. Miller is 13th in all of the NCAA in rushing yards while having fewer carries than everyone ahead of him and is tied for 8th with 13 rushing touchdowns. Additionally, PFF has Miller with a total of 55 missed tackles forced, which is good for 11th in all of NCAA. Lastly, Miller’s receiving stats are not what we want to see from a volume aspect, but PFF has him graded out well above average for receiving, and he has shown that when the ball comes his way, he can be used through the air.

Miller’s size is a massive plus for him. The TCU official website has him listed as 6’ 0”, 220lbs, which is an ideal size for any RB. NFL Mock Draft Database currently has Kendre Miller as an UDFA. I’m not sure what to make of this. There may be a good chance the TCU RB comes back for the 2023 season if he does not think his 2022 Draft outlook is good

Drake Maye (QB, UNC) is easily the hottest name in devy this month within our community. His stock is through the roof right now, vaulting his way to fourth overall in our November ADP. Maye has been steadily rising since the start of the college season, coming in at 22.8 in September and 12.6 last month during October. Maye and CJ Stroud have completed 34 touchdowns this season, good for first in the nation, but Maye has thrown one less interception and arguably has much worse weapons around him than Stroud. I like Josh Downs as much as the next guy, but he is definitely not the same type of prospect to me as Marvin Harrison Jr. The 2024 QB class is shaping up quite nicely, and Drake Maye appears to be the crown jewel of it at this time.

Will Levis (QB, Kentucky) is someone I have spoken highly of before in these newsletters, but this time it will be in a more negative light. I've noticed that his ADP has been tumbling in the last few weeks, as some folks are shying away from Wildcat in favor of other options. His devy ADP in November is down to 33.0 from 14.6 in the prior month. I have noticed this same trend in the 2023 rookie mocks, with Levis being a mid-first lock previously and being selected outside the first round with an ADP of 13.0 in November. The lack of rushing upside and questionable decision-making are not things I was expecting to sign up for with Will Levis on my fantasy squads. If he continues to play as he did against Vanderbilt this past week, he may not even get the requisite draft capital even to matter.

Click below if you want to participate in these mocks with our community

Kyler Murray (hamstring) remains limited, but he will have a decent shot at playing this week. Josh Allen (elbow) had no setbacks after playing last week, so he wheels up again and expects more production. Matt Stafford (concussion) has been practicing in full and is expected to return this week.

Ezekiel Elliott (knee) has been practicing in a limited capacity but told reporters he plans to play this week, but I still like Tony Pollard as a play for fantasy. Gus Edwards (hamstring) has been practicing in a limited capacity, and reportedly the plan is for him to return this week. Khalil Herbert (hip) has been placed on IR, so rookie Trestan Ebner should slot into a more significant workload as the backup.

Justin Jefferson (toe) was a limited participant on Wednesday, but I don’t expect this to limit him after a stellar game last week. AJ Brown (ankle) and Devonta Smith (knee) were limited participants, but both are expected to play this week. Keenan Allen (hamstring) and Mike Williams (high ankle) have been practicing and could wind up returning this week. Marquise Brown (foot) has been practicing in a limited capacity, but we aren’t sure yet if he will be ready to play and be activated off IR for Monday night’s game (hopefully, we will hear news on him before Sunday AM games start). Jerry Jeudy (ankle) remains a non-participant, and I don’t expect him to play this week. His replacement, Kendall Hinton (shoulder), has also not participated. DJ Chark (ankle) has been designated to return from IR and has been practicing, so he could return this week if he’s ready. Juju Smith-Schuster (concussion) and Mecole Hardman (abdomen) remain out of practice, so continued wheels up on Kadarius Toney for the Chiefs. Wan’Dale Robinson (hamstring) suffered a setback on Wednesday and could not practice on Thursday, so his game status is in jeopardy.

Mark Andrews (shoulder) has been practicing in a limited capacity, but the plan is for him to return. Cole Kmet (quad) went from DNP to LP, so keep an eye on his status for the game this week. David Njoku (ankle) practiced on Thursday and may have a chance at playing this week. Jelani Woods (shoulder) remains out of practice so it may lead to a continued bump to Kylen Granson. Gerald Everett (abdomen) was able to get a limited practice in, but keep an eye on his status for the game.

There are many more updates, especially after full injury reports come out, so be sure to tune in to the Destination Devy Injury Pod that drops on Sunday morning before setting your lineups, and follow me @jmthrivept for live updates.

Beyond the Mic🎙

4D chess gives some advice on navigating moving players who are injured.

Someone pretty smart once said, "You miss 100% of the shots you don't take." There is a lot of truth to that in the dynasty world. Some big-time contenders took a massive hit this past week. Cooper Kupp, Dallas Goedert, and old reliable Zach Ertz go down, and suddenly things don't look so rosy for some teams.

Let's look at Mr. Zach Ertz to start. You want to get off him. It would help if you had something that would score some points. I myself began to trade Ertz around my leagues. I was hesitant to send the "spam" offers because many teams I viewed as rebuilders shouldn't be interested in Ertz. After much thought, I convinced myself to go ahead and send em anyways. VIOLA! Teams that I thought would never consider Ertz accepted deals without counters. Full disclosure I wasn't asking for a haul in return, but something I could plug into a lineup or roster on a bestball team that wasn't a 0. I'll shoot my shot on the Hayden Hurst, Juwan Johnson, and Bob Tonyan's of the world over rostering a 0 with a knee injury on the wrong side of 30.

The best advice I can give if you're in this situation is to try at least. Try everyone in your league. Send reasonable offers. Don't try to gouge the trade partners with absurd deals. You might be surprised at who's feeling froggy and will bail you out of a bad situation.

 @FantasyGenes gives us his two matchups for week 11.

Let's get into the matchups that I like this week.

Dalvin Cook vs Cowboys

Cook has been really good at home this year. He is averaging 95 yards per game and has not rushed for no less than 90. Gets to take on a reeling Dallas rush defense that was just gashed by Green Bay this past week. The Dallas defense the last four weeks:

  • Allowed the 4th most rush yards per game(147)

  • Allowed the 9th most rush yards per carry per game(4.8)

  • 17th in fantasy points allowed per game(22.5)

  • Start Cook with confidence. PrizePicks has a rush line of 80.5. I would lean over at that number.

Kittle vs Cards

Since 2018, Kittle has been under 57 yards vs. the Cards just once out of the last six games and has had at least four recs in those games. The cards have been bad vs. the TE position for a long time, and with the number of weapons on the SF side of the ball, it will be tough to contain Kittle. The Cardinals' defense the last four weeks:

  • Allowed the most fantasy pts per game(21.1)

  • Allowed the most fantasy pts per game in the red zone(8.6)

  • Allowed the most recs per game(7)

  • Allowed most yards per game(68)

  • Start with confidence. No lines on PrizePicks.

 @EricVanekNFL gives us his best lineup options in Week 11.

Here we go; another week is upon us, some good teams are on bye again, and the weather looks like it could be a factor in some places as well! Playoffs are inching closer and closer as well. It’s time to win these final matchups and secure that playoff spot, so hopefully, we can help you do that here this week!

I will be looking at FantasyPros ECR rankings to give you a look at guys outside the top 12 at QB, top 24 RB, top 36 WR, and top 12 at TE as some sleeper options to play this week.

At QB this week, I am going to put out QB Taylor Heinicke against Houston. It’s on the road in a dome, so don’t worry about the weather here. Houston has been one of the worst defenses in the league as well this year. Heinicke could have a nice day here throwing to McLaurin or Samuel. I would go ahead and stream Heinicke here if you’re looking for a QB this week, and you don’t have to worry about the weather.

At RB this week, I will go with RB34 on the week, and that is Gus Edwards. I think the Gus Bus, as long as he is healthy off his injury before the bye, should be a solid play at home this week. I believe Baltimore wants to run the ball with their lack of pass-catching options here. Gus came in his first game and scored two TDs, and I think Gus can come in and be that hammer again with a shot at the TD. I will definitely fire up some Gus this week.

The WR I am going to go to this week is WR38 Parris Campbell. I think the Colts and Eagles should be a higher-scoring game this week in the dome, so the weather is not an issue again. Matt Ryan and Campbell have hooked up quite a bit in Ryan’s starts, and I think this is another one where they can do it. Eagles are coming off a Monday night loss, so a short week, now on the road after that. I think this will be much closer to a game than people think. Fire up some Campbell.

The TE I am going to go with this week is TE13 Juwan Johnson for the Saints. It is pretty ugly at TE this week not going to lie not many streaming options for the owners who lost Ertz and Goedert. That is a solid option if you can get your hands on Juwan. He has done pretty well with Dalton catching a few TDs, and that’s all you’re hoping for at TE. Spray and pray you to get a TD. I think Juwan should have a solid shot at that!

Good luck to everyone here in Week 11!

Podcasts This Week

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