Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy!

Fast Five Facts leading into Week Twelve

All Stats Are Courtesy of The 33rd Team's Edge

1.) Tom Brady has stayed in the pocket for 96.4% of his snaps. That leads all starting QBs.

2.) Miles Sanders leads all rushers with 390 yards BEFORE contact.

3.) Amon Ra St. Brown has seen a target on 34.2% of his routes run. That is best among all wideouts with at least 50 routes run.

4.) Travis Kelce has 69 receptions this season. The gap between him and number 2 would be TE 25 on the season.

5.) The Washington Commanders have the highest pressure rate in the NFL at 40.4%.

VIDEO OF THE WEEK

Week 13 College Football Pick

Charbonnet had arguably his worst statistical game of the year in their rivalry game with USC. We have a play for this week with a shorter slate.

Bijan Robinson Over 24.5 Fantasy score

He's the best running back in the country, and in one of his last games, we expect him to show out. Will he replicate his dominant performance of last week against Kansas? Probably not, but 24.5 is too low for this feature back against a Baylor defense that was beaten up last week by TCU.

Click the button below and tail the Bijan Robinson play! Best of Luck

If you love our show and want to support everything we do for you and have fun placing bets with us, head on to PrizePicks. PrizePicks offers a 100% Deposit Match for our people, up to $100. Click the button above to take you right there to sign up to get in on the action below!

Earlier this season, we looked at UNC’s WR Josh Downs (2023 eligible) and how he may translate to the next level. We all know how Downs had Sam Howell in 2020 and 2021, but Downs has arguably a MUCH better QB throwing the ball his way this season. Drake Maye and Josh Downs are a combination you must watch on Friday, as you’re coming down from your Thanksgiving food coma.

2024 QB Drake Maye has sky-rocketted up everybody’s rankings throughout the 2022 season. Maye has just over 3600 passing yards, 34 TDs, and only 4 INTs while still holding a 68% completion percentage in his first real season of collegiate action. Additionally, Maye has close to 600 yards (which subtracts from yardage lost on sacks) on the ground, adding another 5 TDs. That rushing bonus is huge for us fantasy players. ESPN has Maye’s QBR at 86.2, 4th in the NCAA, only trailing CJ Stroud, Hendon Hooker, and Bo Nix. Lastly, PFF has Maye with a total OFF grade of 92.9 and a PASS grade of 92.0. Both metrics only trail Ohio’s Kurtis Rourke (93.1 and 92.1, respectively).

Maye is likely QB2 or 3 in most 2024 QB rankings right now. Caleb Williams has been the consensus, and there are still those who love Quinn Ewers's talent. However, nobody can deny that Maye belongs in that upper tier. After a down week against Georgia Tech, Maye and Downs look to bounce back in a big way against North Carolina State. This is definitely the game to watch during the afternoon slate.

When it comes to the 2023 RB class, the talent is elite at the top but also runs deep into the later rounds of our mocks. A few weeks ago, I highlighted some of the wide receivers from the 2023 class that I felt we had been too low on in our ADP. This week I will point out a few names I think we have been too low on regarding running backs.

Xazavian Valladay (RB, Arizona St.) - It baffles me how we have let the guy who scored the most rushing touchdowns in the PAC-12 this season slip to a nearly undrafted range all over season long. With an ADP of 46.0, he sits as our RB23 and is seldom taken in our 2023 rookie mocks. As a reminder, Rachaad White put up similar numbers and got decent capital out of Arizona State last year. Valladay could very well have a similar trajectory to the next level. One of my favorite stats I look at is yards per team play, and this Sun Devil currently sits in the top 10 in the nation at 1.94 to go with a very impressive dominator rating of 42.8% in 2022. Valladay all day in these later rounds.

DeWayne McBride (RB, UAB) - It can be very challenging for some of these small school guys to get the recognition they deserve. Big Media will focus on the larger, more popular conferences and leave talent like McBride in the dust. Listed at 5’11” and 215 lbs, this Blazer has the prototypical size we look for at the next level, along with the stats to back it. He currently has over 1400 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns, averaging 6.6 yards per carry, and he leads the non-Power 5 conferences in yards per team play at 2.10 as a junior. With an ADP of 45.1, he is in that same territory as Valladay, where I will gladly take shots at these guys if they hang around into these later rounds.

Israel Abanikanda (RB, Pitt) - Israel leads the ACC this season in rushing yards with 1320 so far and has also found the endzone 18 times this season. With an ADP of 39.1, he does get drafted more frequently than McBride or Valladay, at least, but I still think this is too low. This Panther has legit game-breaking speed and excellent vision, both intangibles I desire. This junior is another top 10 performer for yards per team play at 1.90 and has an elite dominator rating of 38.9% to go with it. I will have many shares of Abanikanda if he finds a good home at the next level.

Click below if you want to participate in these mocks with our community

Kyler Murray (hamstring) has been a full participant and has a decent chance to return this week before their bye week. Matt Stafford (concussion/neck strain) has already been ruled out, so likely an entire hit to the Rams offense with Bryce Perkins at the helm. Justin Fields (left AC sprain) has been able to practice in limited capacity so far but told reporters he is still in a lot of pain, leading me to believe he will most likely be out for this week.

Joe Mixon (concussion protocol) remains in protocol and out of practice, which generally puts his status in doubt by Thursday, but keep an eye on his status through Saturday. Alvin Kamara (illness) was out of practice on Thursday, but the team expects him to be able to play depending on his symptoms. Leonard Fournette (hip) has been an LPx2 and told reporters he is still pretty sore, so this could be a big Rachaad White week again. Aaron Jones (shin/glute) has been limited in practice, but is expected to play. Gus Edwards (knee/hamstring) was able to get a full participation on Thursday and is trending upwards. Raheem Mostert (knee) remains out of practice, but the team has not ruled him out just yet. Jaylen Warren (hamstring) remains out of practice and likely is out for this week.

Ja’Marr Chase (hip) has been an LPx2 so far, and the team has stated he is expected to play this week, though he carries some risk of re-injury or limited snaps. AJ Brown (illness) was unable to practice due to illness, but the team doesn’t sound concerned about his status for this week. Deebo Samuel (hamstring) was a limited participant for the second day in a row after dealing with cramping in last week’s game, but they should be able to play. Mike Williams (right ankle) aggravated his prior right high ankle sprain and likely is out for at least a week, so another bump to Josh Palmer for the week. Greg Dortch (thumb) has been a DNP x2 so far, so keep an eye on his status as Rondale Moore (groin) has essentially been ruled out already. Demarcus Robinson (hip) was downgraded to DNP on Thursday after having no injury designation, so keep an eye on his status. Jerry Jeudy (ankle) remains out of practice, so likely continued to bump to Kendall Hinton for at least another week. Parris Campbell (illness) was an LP on Thursday but should be able to play. Terrace Marshall (shoulder) has been an LPx2 so far but is expected to play. Kadarius Toney (hamstring) remains out of practice and likely misses this week after aggravating his prior hamstring strain. Juju Smith-Schuster (concussion) has been practicing in full and likely returns this week. Allen Robinson (ankle) has been limited in practice but is expected to play.

David Njoku (knee/ankle) upgraded from a DNP to an LP on Thursday, but even if active is at risk for continued limited snaps this week. Gerald Everett (groin) progressed from a limited to a full participant and is trending toward playing. Tyler Higbee (knee) has been dealing with swelling and discomfort but reportedly has a chance to play.

There are many more updates, especially after full injury reports come out, so be sure to tune in to the Destination Devy Injury Pod that drops on Sunday morning before setting your lineups, and follow me @jmthrivept for live updates.

Beyond the Mic🎙

@ATM gives some targets to try and acquire at the fantasy football deadline.

The fantasy football playoffs are right around the corner. If you are a contender, you are looking to acquire players who are producing fantasy points to strengthen your team for the playoff run. The whole idea of playing this game is to win the championship, but dynasty fantasy football isn't just a one-year game. As you go out and make as many deals as possible before the deadline, I want to caution you on buying players who have hit a peak in value.

There are numerous players who fit this bill, but let's discuss 3 specific examples: Dameon Pierce, Davante Adams, and Kenneth Walker III.

Dameon Pierce has been a great story. The fourth-round pick out of Florida had an excellent opportunity to seize the backfield in Houston. He has exceeded most expectations by not only taking the backfield but also finishing as an RB1 on four different weeks. Now, as a 22-year-old back who has played 70% of snaps since Week 2, he's valued as a top-10 dynasty back by many. Given all of that, he may seem like a candidate to provide production, but he is also young. I would caution you not to pay up for the youth, which is driving Pierce's price up. The truth is that Dameon Pierce plays for a team in a full rebuild that only scores 15 points per game. He has only offered one spike week (top 5 RB finish) and three additional consistent weeks (top 18 RB finish), and that definition of replaceable production.

Inquire about someone like Josh Jacobs (who will cost quite a bit less and provides better WoRP) or Rhamondre Stevenson (who is likely slightly cheaper and also gives you better WoRP) instead.

Davante Adams has been a stud and is producing top 5 points per game at the wide receiver position. After inking a massive deal with the Raiders, he should be with the Raiders through at least 2024. As a contender, you would love the production of Adams, which could be league-winning. The problem is Adams is approaching the age cliff turning 30 years old next month. We've seen Keenan Allen miss a lot of time this season; we saw Julio cliff around 30, and unfortunately saw Cooper Kupp suffer an injury that ended his season, and he will be 30 next season.

I'm willing to acquire aging assets for production. Adams is putting up huge numbers, and he might break the mold and play like this for a couple more seasons. The problem is that Adams still has the price tag of a top-10 receiver, and the acquisition cost makes him far too risky. If you want to buy aging production, try to trade for DeAndre Hopkins, who will give you the same production but cost significantly less.

Kenneth Walker III was being faded quite a bit, given his draft capital, due to not showing receiving prowess, landing spot, and the incumbent running backs in front of him (Rashaad Penny and Chris Carson. Woof). After taking over the backfield in week 6, Walker III is one of the top rbs in points per game and has risen into the overall RB1 discussion. As someone that drafted a lot of Kenneth Walker, I loved the value he has gained over the year, but he now has no chance at value accrual, which means you are paying top dollar for him. He has nowhere to go but down, which means you are assuming all the risk. If he has a few disappointing weeks or gets injured, you've already lost a good bit of value. I love Walker and believe he can keep producing, but I don't like buying him at his price today. Once again, inquire about someone like Josh Jacobs or Rhamondre Stevenson instead.

 @FantasyGenes gives us his two matchups for week 12.

Let's get into the matchups that I like this week.

Ekeler vs Cardinals

Ekeler has been on a tear for the last five weeks. He has averaged 23.3 fantasy points per game, which is 4th during that span. The Chargers are still dealing injuries to their weapons and get the very giving Cardinals defense. The Cardinals' defense in the last five weeks:

• 3rd most recs allowed to RBs

• 4th most rec yards allowed to RBs

• 5th most fantasy points allowed to RBs

• Start Ekeler with confidence. On PrizePicks, he has a 55.5 rush yards prop but I would be interested in his fantasy points or receptions.  

Garrett Wilson vs Bears

Overall, Wilson hasn't flashed like we hoped for this season, but he gets a lifeline with a new QB at the helm. No better way to try to establish a connection with a new QB than to play the Bears, one of the worst secondaries in the NFL. Wilson has the 6th best WR/CB matchup per PFF. The Bears' defense in the last five weeks:

• 3rd highest catch rate allowed

• 3rd most yards per reception allowed

• Top half of the league in fantasy points allowed to WRs

• Start Wilson in your flex. No lines on PrizePicks.

 @EricVanekNFL gives us his best lineup options in Week 12.

It’s Turkey Week! A week in fantasy football is known as “crunch time.” This is it; it’s now or never to win games and make your fantasy playoffs, make the right start/sit decisions, and get everything going for a fantasy playoff run.

I will be looking at FantasyPros ECR rankings to give you a look at guys outside the top 12 at QB, full 24 RB, top 36 WR, and top 12 at TE as some sleeper options to play this week.

This week at the QB, I am going to go back to QB 20 on the week, Taylor Heinicke, for the Washington Commanders. In another game, I’m expecting to be back and forth a little bit; he has all of his weapons healthy right now with McLaurin, Dotson, Samuel, as well as Gibson and B Rob. I am ready to fire up Heinicke this week against Atlanta’s D that hasn’t been very good all season long. I think Heinicke will be a great streaming option this week for teams.

For the RB spot this week, I am going to go with RB 25 Latavius Murray for Denver. He’s going up against Carolina with the release of Melvin Gordon and Chase Edmonds going to the IR. Latavius will have this backfield to himself, and I’m expecting him to have 20+ carries, and he can get a few dump-off catches. I think Murray should be a perfect RB2 type for you this week and going forward for the rest of this season.

At WR this week, I am going with, shockingly, the WR 38 on the week, and that is Drake London. Not sure why Drake is this low with no Kyle Pitts, but yeah, I am firing up Drake London this week as the only real option in the passing game now. I think London should be a good option from here on out for the rest of the season as well.

TE this week I am going to go with TE13 David Njoku. Njoku came back and didn’t play a full allotment of snaps but I am confident he will start to get back there soon. The Browns need him and in a big game against Tampa Bay, I think Njoku will be used a lot this week. I’d expect Njoku to be a top-12 TE this week in fantasy!

Hopefully, everyone had a good Thanksgiving, and enjoy the rest of the Week 12 games as we get closer to the fantasy playoffs!

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