Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy!

VIDEO OF THE WEEK

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Kyler Goes Hollywood in 2022

Kyler Murray just signed a MONSTER deal that locks him up in Arizona for the next 5-years while giving him the 2nd most guaranteed money (Deshaun Watson 1st) and the 2nd most annual average (Aaron Rodgers)? Does this mean it's time for Kyler to have the FIRST 4,000-yard passing season of his career? That's right, Kyler Murray has never cracked 4,000 passing yards through his first three seasons. Now, if we're keeping it real, he was on pace to smash this last year before the ankle injury. With the addition of Marquise Brown, AJ Green still being serviceable, Zach Ertz locked into the top TE spot, and when DeAndre Hopkins returns from his 6-game absence, Kyler should cruise past this number in 2022. His current passing yards total on various sports books is from 3,949-4,050. This line set by PrizePicks seems to be right in the middle. I'm taking the OVER on this one with confidence! If you want in on the action. Click that big button below to get in!

Rashod Bateman to the Moon? 🚀

Rashod Bateman has been a hot topic this offseason, mostly due to the departure of Marquise “Hollywood” Brown. Brown's departure inserts Bateman into the Ravens’ WR1 spot. Let’s take a look at how he predicts going forward based on his rookie year production.

Bateman’s 2021 receiving line was less than ideal, but a little expected due to him missing camp and the first five weeks of the season. The Raven’s 2021 1st Round Pick ended up with 65 targets (10.6% of the team total), 46 receptions, 515 yards, and a touchdown. He also posted a 1.26 yards per route run (per PFF, which only ranked 9th of all 2021 rookies) and an average target depth of 9.6 yards.

While producing less than stellar numbers, he did score higher than the 5.7 PPG threshold we NEED to see in a WR’s rookie season. Although that does seem like a low threshold, it is a statistically significant number that rookie WRs absolutely need to hit to predict future success. Just by hitting that 5.7 PPG in the rookie season, we can roughly predict a career output of 11 PPG, compared to 2.9 PPG if not.

Bateman ultimately falls into our “second bucket/tier” for this decision tree, but with over 40% of Baltimore’s targets from 2021 leaving the roster, Bateman looks to fill the #2 role in the Raven’s passing attack. I would not be surprised to see Rashod Bateman vault himself into our bucket/tier 1 this time next year.

Explanation of Tree: The model was built using all drafted WRs from 2017 through 2019. Each circle shows the % of the sample that fell into that category (bottom %) and the average PPG for that % of the sample (top number). The goal is to get as far down to the bottom as possible by asking yes/no questions at each node (in bold, under the circle). If yes, go left. If not, go right.

Example WRs that fall into Tier 1 bucket (Career 13+ PPG): AJ Brown, DK Metcalf, Cooper Kupp, DJ Moore, Terry McLaurin, Chris Godwin, Deebo Samuel

Example WRs that fall into Tier 2 bucket (Career 7.8-12.9 PPG): Curtis Samuel, Zay Jones, James Washington, Darius Slayton, Auden Tate, Anthony Miller, Parris Campbell

This is just one SMALL part of the work that goes into JB's analytic database. To gain access to these types of charts and much more subscribe at the All-Am level below!

Diving into our Devy ADP this week, no QB is currently making a bigger splash in the community than Will Levis. At 6’3 232lbs with a rocket for an arm and above average mobility, the Kentucky QB carries a lot of promise heading into the ‘22 season and has dynasty gamers salivating at his NFL upside. Despite his morning coffee choices, his 15.5 ADP in July brings him in at QB5 overall, behind only CJ Stroud, Caleb Williams, Bryce Young and Quinn Ewers. However, the quarterback position carries a ton of risk in devy as a lot can change within a single season of development, or lack thereof. Let’s not forget D.J. Uiagalelei and Spencer Rattler were in the QB1 conversation this time last year. Levis needs to improve his decision making and build off his junior campaign in order to secure essential NFL draft capital. Without it, we could be looking at the next Sam Howell on our dynasty rosters.

JK Dobbins has been a hot topic this off-season, with recent news coming from Ian Rapoport that he is “no sure thing for Week 1” as he continues his bid to return from a significant ACL/LCL injury in his left knee. Dobbins refuted that claim, stating that he may not even start the season on PUP and that he will be ready for week one . I have been on record projecting Dobbins to be active by week one, a full 12 months post-surgery, but that his workload will likely be limited early in the season.

We know the Ravens love to run, but the lack of targets historically going to RBs in Greg Roman’s system as well as having to contend with Lamar Jackson, Gus Edwards, and new addition Mike Davis, will likely cap his ceiling in year one. We also know that production has historically dropped in a running back’s year one return coming off of an ACL injury, let alone multi-ligamentous, as discussed in this thread.

Even projecting Dobbins to be active for week one of the season, at RB20-22 prices for 2022 I would recommend fading him. For dynasty, he has likely lost his highest value due to injury, but there is a chance he becomes even cheaper during the early part of the 2022 season if he struggles to produce. Acquire with caution if you choose that path and want to aim for the year two post-ACL production boost in 2023.

🚨TRADE OF THE WEEK 🚨 

This trade is brought to you by the good people of DD in our exclusive trade channel where we only post and discuss dynasty trades. The basics here are 12-Team Dynasty Superflex Tight End Premium.

What a deal!?! Big name pieces on the move! For a lineup league contender with relatively small starting spots(9,10,11) I really like the JT side. He’s an absolute unit. On the flip side, for Bestball, deep starting lineup leagues(12,13,14), or a rebuilding team, this is a fantastic return for JT. Probably one of the best offers you’re going to receive. Excellent construction on this dynasty trade!

If you want access to hundreds of trades per week, from a group that's tapped into dynasty fantasy football 24/7 click the button below and subscribe to the All-Conference tier. For less than .25 cents per day get access to this channel as well as multiple databases to help you dominate your dynasty leagues.

Beyond the Mic🎙

Trading for Jared Goff? Let’s Ask @IowaMichael aka. McNutted

I have seen the light! In best ball formats I was always a “throw as many darts at a wall as I could '' to fill my QB/SF spot. Now looking at spike weeks for QB’s and how hard they are spiking, I have committed to pivoting to a couple elite options to fill those spots now. You can still roll out 4-5 “starter” caliber assets, but I think the better alternative is to pair a couple top 5 options together with a turd like Goff as long as the acquisition cost isn’t a hindrance to your overall depth. You can check out all the content that the 4D Guys dropped this past week below ⬇️

Off-The Line- Mark Andrews Inflated Price? @FantasyGenes weighs in.

We saw Mark Andrews(TE2/17th overall) put up crazy numbers in 2021 (107-1361-9) and knock Travis Kelce down from his perch of TE1 but do we think he will repeat that performance? Andrews had a 57% jump in targets and receiving yards from 2020 to 2021. Only 2 TEs since 2009 have had repeat 1100+ yard seasons (Gronk 2014-15 and Kelce 2018-21). Balt ran the most plays per game last season but was 32nd, 29th, and 17th in the previous three. Balt Def was last in pass yards allowed per game due to a slew of defensive players going to IR. I love the target situation Andrews is in, but I can not expect him to return TE2 value based on history and player movement to renew running the ball.

Training Camp is here! What is @EricVanekNFL trying to identify during camp?

We are about to get into the dog days of summer not only in the real world but in the NFL as well. Camp’s are about to open up and NOW is the time to really be paying attention! Do you feel like your league-mates have caught up to you? Now is a very important time to get that extra edge on your league-mates. Pay attention to those Training Camp reports and the Preseason Games. Pick up those hidden gems who are getting daily buzz at their camps and don’t be afraid to move them if someone comes calling! Bank those extra 2nd and 3rd RD round 2023 rookie picks as currency to use during the season! Now is the time!

Podcasts This Week

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