⛽️🔥 November Rookie ADP/Donovan Edwards Devy Profile

Fast Five facts/Injury reports and More

Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy! 

Fast Five Facts leading into Week Thirteen

All Stats Are Courtesy of The 33rd Team's Edge 

1.) Matt Ryan Leads all QBs who have played in at least 25% of their games in the accuracy of passes over 21 Yards at 68.8%.

2.) Josh Jacobs leads all rushers with 8 Missed tackles against Heavy box formations (8 or more in the box).

3.) Amari Cooper leads all wideouts in air yards against man coverage with 597.

4.) Travis Kelce has the most receptions from the Tight end position against Man coverage with 25.

5.) The Minnesota Vikings have allowed the most passing yards with 3226 (293.27 yards per game).           

VIDEO OF THE WEEK 

Championship Week College Football Pick 

The regular season has come to an end. We've had some easy wins, and hard luck losses. We hope you have enjoyed some success from this section of picks. We've got one more week of football before bowl season, and we have a matchup we like

Caleb Williams OVER 31.5 Fantasy Score

We have seen the current Heisman trophy winner do it all down the stretch here to lead his Trojans' to within one win of the college football playoffs. Williams has done it through the air and on the ground ever since the loss of Travis Dye a few weeks back. He has averaged a 36.2 Fantasy score on prize picks over the last 5 weeks, and we think it'll be a sixth straight week against Utah. They will need once again all of Caleb in order to secure the victory.

 Click the button below and tail the Caleb Williams play! Best of Luck

If you love our show and want to support everything we do for you and have fun placing bets with us, head on to PrizePicks. PrizePicks offers a 100% Deposit Match for our people, up to $100. Click the button above to take you right there to sign up to get in on the action below! 

Everybody watched The Game this past weekend, and we all anticipated Blake Corum’s return. Well, that return was cut short only after a few plays, but Michigan’s Donovan Edwards carried the Wolverines to victory. The sophomore ran for 216 yards and 2 TDs, adding another two catches for 9 yards. Edwards showed that skill that we have all been waiting for since his commitment to Ann Arbor. 

Earlier this year, we talked about Donovan Edwards being one of the top 2024 RBs. The following is straight from my 2024 RB report from this past September:

Michigan's Donovan Edwards looks to be the next RB up with the departure of Hassan Haskins. Edwards will split time with Blake Corum, but what has me most excited is Edwards in the receiving game. The 6 ft 200 lb freshman only took 35 carries last year (in which he did well with, totaling 174 yards and 3 TDs), but it's his receiving game that has me thrilled. Michigan featured him and lined him up as a WR in about 31% of his snaps (15% being in the slot and 16% out wide). He totaled 20 catches on 26 targets. His ADOT was 3.4 yards, 3.79 yards per route run, and 231 yards after the catch. I am very excited to see how Harbaugh uses Edwards this upcoming season in Ann Arbor.

Although we have not been able to see Edwards all year, mostly due to injury, we have all loved what we’ve seen while he’s on the field. He has just under 700 rushing yards on only 92 carries (7.5 per carry), 16 receptions, and eight total TDs. PFF has Edwards as their #1 RB in REC grade (91.1). That grade is #3 overall in ALL of NCAA (min of 15 targets). Utah’s TE Dalton Kincaid and Notre Dame’s TE Michael Mayer are the only two ahead of him. Right behind him? Fellow 2024 classmate Marvin Harrison Jr (Ohio State WR). 

With Blake Corum electing season-ending surgery, Donovan Edwards looks to keep this late-season rush going as Michigan takes on Purdue this weekend in the Big Ten Championship. With a win, Michigan locks up the #2 seed in the College Football Playoff. Edwards has a lot to prove this weekend, in the college football playoffs and in the 2023 season, but don’t be surprised if this dual-threat RB starts pushing to top-tier status in the 2024 RB class. 

Trade deadlines and fantasy playoffs are quickly approaching for most dynasty gamers. Having an understanding of roughly who could be available in the upcoming draft class and where they could be selected is critical when navigating these last-minute deals. We can use our November ADP to gain some insight into how people feel about these prospects today and hopefully leverage it to our advantage.

At quarterback, it feels like Bryce Young and CJ Stroud will be the ones that command those early firsts after Bijan Robinson goes 1.01 in all formats.  Will Levis is our current 1.12, and for me personally, I would rather take a shot at QB here rather than investing those 1.02, and 1.03 type picks on Young or Stroud.  Bo Nix has been the biggest riser at QB in the month of November, as he sits at an ADP of 36.4, positioned in the late third.  The biggest faller has been DJ Uiagalelei, who is now mostly undrafted with an ADP of 47.0.

Jahmyr Gibbs feels like he is in a tier of his own right now with an ADP of 3.6 in November and generally the consensus of 1.04 in most of our mocks.  After that at running back, it feels like there will be a pocket of value towards the end of the first and into the mid to late second.  Kendre Miller is the biggest riser for November with an ADP of 17.6 at 2.05.  Mo Ibrahim got left behind this month and is our biggest faller at 4.06 with an ADP of 40.4.  

At wide receiver in the mid-first is where we find people are comfortable taking shots at guys like Jordan Addison and Quentin Johnston this month, along with Kayshon Boutte and Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who have done very little this season.  I say know your league, though, because, in some formats, people will be inclined to take shots at the running backs over the wide receivers, which will result in getting even better value on these guys in the late first.  Jaylin Hyatt is in at 2.01 in November with the biggest increase across all positions this month by over 26 spots in our ADP vs October.  Rakim Jarrett, on the other hand, has fallen the most this month, down to 37.6 in the late third round.

Michael Mayer is still the TE1 of the class, with an ADP of 17.8 in November, which lands him at 2.06.  I am personally fine with this, but I know some folks will want to take him higher, especially with any sort of TE premium.  Let them, and it will just drive the value down for you at the other skill positions.  The biggest riser at TE in November is Darnell Washington at 3.03, and the biggest faller is Arik Gilbert, who went undrafted this month.

Check out the ADP below and tell me on Twitter @dynastyberry83 who you think should be higher or lower!

Lamar Jackson (quad) returned to practice and is expected to play this week. Matt Stafford (concussion/neck strain) has been ruled doubtful for this week’s game. Justin Fields (left AC sprain) was able to get in a full participation on Thursday and has a decent chance to return this week. Aaron Rodgers (ribs/oblique) is practicing in a limited capacity and has told reporters that he intends to play.

Christian McCaffrey (knee) was able to practice in a limited capacity on the injury report, though he stated he practiced in full (meaning he was full go in his limited reps in practice) and I expect him to play this week. Travis Etienne (foot) has been able to practice in a limited capacity and I expect him to play this week, though likely on limited touches. Najee Harris (oblique) is likely out for this week, while Jaylen Warren (hamstring) has been a full participation all week and Benny Snell (knee) was downgraded to a limited participant on Thursday. Joe Mixon (concussion protocol) remains in the protocol but will likely be activated and return for this week’s game. Josh Jacobs (calf) has been a limited participant but I expect him to play this week. Leonard Fournette (hip) has practiced in full and is expected to return. Aaron Jones (shin/glute) has been limited in practice but is expected to play like last week, while AJ Dillon (quad) has been added to the injury report. Antonio Gibson (foot) did not participate in practice on Thursday, but coaches made it sound like it’s part of a load management plan to get him ready for this week’s game. JK Dobbins (knee surgery) has been practicing but is not expected to be activated off of IR for this week’s game. Raheem Mostert (knee) has a chance to return this week, but likely on limited snaps. Cam Akers (illness) was not able to practice Thursday but may be feeling better by the weekend. Michael Carter (ankle) remains out of practice and I expect him to miss, leaving the door open for Bam Knight. Rex Burkhead (concussion) remains out of practice, but I pray that you weren’t using him in fantasy anyways. Jerick McKinnon (hamstring) remains out of practice, which could open a door for Melvin Gordon unless he fumbles it.

Ja’Marr Chase (hip) continues to practice in a limited capacity, but has also stated he intends to play (if he is active this week, it means he feels 100% as he told reporters if he doesn’t feel 100% then he won’t play yet). Deebo Samuel (quad) remains out of practice and his status is in doubt. Mike Williams (ankle) has remained on the rehab field and is likely 1-2 more weeks away from returning. Jerry Jeudy (ankle) remains out of practice and likely misses another week. Brandin Cooks (calf) was added to the injury report on Thursday with limited practice. Kadarius Toney (hamstring) remains out of practice. Darius Slayton (illness) was not able to practice, while Richie James (knee) has been able to practice in a limited capacity so keep an eye on their statuses. Treylon Burks (illness) did not practice on Thursday, so keep an eye on his status over the weekend. Zay Jones (chest) has been a limited participant but is expected to play.

David Njoku (knee) is reportedly dealing with a new knee issue and has been unable to practice, so keep an eye on his status. Juwan Johnson (ankle) did not practice on Thursday, but the Saints play on Monday Night so he still has plenty of time to show his ability to play this week. Daniel Bellinger (orbital fracture) is expected to return this week, which could be huge if Slayton and James are limited. Jelani Woods (shoulder/quad) was unable to practice on Thursday, though he has been on the report for several weeks and has been able to suit up, so this could be load management for him.

There are many more updates, especially after full injury reports come out, so be sure to tune in to the Destination Devy Injury Pod that drops on Sunday morning before setting your lineups, and follow me @jmthrivept for live updates.

Beyond the Mic🎙

4D talks about Future casting this off-season and how that can help shape your squads.

Let’s talk about something that will definitely get you an advantage over your league mates. Futurecasting. It sounds dirty to most. We generally think of this as trying to predict a player or players' future and how long they will perform for our teams and to what level. Don’t do that too much. I’m talking about future casting value, draft position, and the overall landscape of the market in your leagues. Don’t fret about whether Breece Hall will score 20ppg in 2023 and instead look at the likelihood of an RB in his range being worth 2 1st round picks next year.

One of the biggest things Dynasty Gamers need to wrap their heads around right now is where the QB landscape will be in a short few months. The top 12 at the QB position is solidified. From Allen/Mahomes to Dak/TLaw, we can name the 12 guys you feel good being your QB1. What you should be focusing on and planning for right now is the wasteland of QBs 13-36. We are probably only getting three rookies in the 2023 draft that you will feel good about starting early in the season and possibly the whole season. Outside of that, countless QBs playing right now have negatives that make pushing the button on a very shaky proposition. Either they aren’t producing at above average, or they may not be on their team come May. We have all heard the term RB dead zone before; I’m here to tell you whether it’s in a startup or an existing trade market; the QB dead zone is a real thing. If you find yourself paying a premium for perceived stability in the dead zone, you will suffer a possible massive loss in 2023. Planning ahead and looking at the facts of the QB market heading into 2023 can allow you to identify and discard the overvalued QBs in the 13-24 range and buy into the guys in the 25-36 range for much cheaper. Not only is the cost much easier to stomach, but with the lack of incoming rookies in 2023, you can set yourself up to hit similar production and impact for far, far cheaper. Allowing yourself to futurecast in this type of manner as a whole instead of a single player can reap massive rewards and provide you the edge you need to take down the league pot at the end of the 2023 season! 

 @FantasyGenes gives us his two matchups for week 13.

Let's get into the matchups that I like this week.

George Kittle vs Dolphins

We are back again on the Kittle train. It has been up and down this season for Kittle due to fighting injuries, more weapons, or Jimmy G’s play. This week, he’s going against a team with an up-pace environment and a 47-point total, so we are expecting some opportunities for him to score fantasy points. The Dolphins' defense this year vs. the TE:

  • Allow the most recs to TEs per game (6)

  • Allow the 3rd most fantasy pts to TE per game (16)

  • 2nd highest catch rate for TEs per game (81.2%)

  • Allow the 6th most rec yards to TEs per game (58)

  • Start him everywhere.  No yardage or reception props up on PrizePicks.

Eagles pass offense vs Titans

We have seen the Eagles' offense do it from the air if need to or on the ground, pick your poison! I believe the matchup this week vs the Titans, they will exploit through the air. I have no clue what corners will be available for the Titans but per PFF AJ Brown has the top WR/CB matchup and DeVonta Smith has the 7th best. The Titans' defense this year:

  • Allowed the 2nd most pass yards per game(286)

  • Given up the 7th most fantasy pts to QBs (19.9)

  • Allow the 2nd most fantasy pts to WRs (39.8)

  • Allow the 5th most rec yards to WRs (184)

  • Allow the most fantasy pts to the WRs from the outside (19.1)

  • Start Hurts, Smitty, and AJ Brown with a smile. On PrizePicks, I would take Hurts at 23 up to 24.5, take Smith's receptions at 5 or yards at 59.5, and AJ Brown's fantasy score at 15.

 @EricVanekNFL gives us his best lineup options in Week 13.

Crunch time! Week 13 is here, and playoffs for the fantasy season are right around the corner now. Let’s look into getting some nice streamer starts this week for you!

At QB, I like Mike White this week. I am all in on Mike White. I think he’s the future for the Jets right now and can lead them to the playoffs this year. The guys respect him and rally around him. This week Minnesota has a weak defense, and I think White can expose that. I expect this to be a high-scoring game where White and the Jets need to throw to keep up. White should be a great streamer this week.

For the RB spot this week, I am going to with Brian Robinson of Washington. Antonio Gibson has missed the first two days of practice, and if he's ruled out, I think B Rob will be much higher than this. Robinson should be able to do decent on the ground regardless and have a shot at the end zone this week. I think he'll be the lead back this week with Gibson's foot, even if he does play, so sign me up for some B Rob.

At the WR spot this week, I am going to go with Mack Hollins. With Jacobs banged up, I don’t know if the Raiders can exploit the Chargers in the ground game this week if Jacobs is truly questionable. With that said, I think a lot of focus will be given to Davante Adams, and rightfully so, and Mack Hollins should be the beneficiary. Hollins as a WR3/flex play seems good to me in this potential high scoring match up this week.

At the TE spot, this week give me TE13 Greg Dulcich. Dulcich has been a staple in the broncos' pass offense since he came off IR. I would expect a lot of quick passing to get it out of Russell’s hands quickly in this one, and Dulcich could be a big benefactor to that. I will stake my claim this week on him.

Good luck to everyone in Week 13!

Podcasts This Week 

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