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- ⛽️ 🔥 Pacheco Hype, Jones Future Bet, Target Gerald Everett
⛽️ 🔥 Pacheco Hype, Jones Future Bet, Target Gerald Everett
🚀 College RB Metrics, Jermaine Burton ADP climbing, Training camps injuries
Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy!
VIDEO OF THE WEEK
Daniel Jones Bounce back?
Ok. I hope this doesn't come as a surprise to you all, but Daniel Jones is probably not good at playing Quarterback. Jones hasn't come close to this number once in his career. He's also never played an entire season in his 3-year career, and I'm here to tell you I doubt he finishes this season as the starter. Tyrod Taylor is going to start at some point this season. Reports out of Giants camp have been underwhelming at best on the signal caller. I hope I don't have to go much deeper than what's already been stated...HAMMER THE UNDER on this line. You might have a winning ticket by Week 10 of this season if Jones does what Jones does typically....play bad football.
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College Football Previews-Running Backs
Continuing on our College Football preview and staying in the backfield… the fantasy moneymakers, the ball carriers, the prospects everyone in dynasty wants The Running Backs.
The graphic below shows some 2023 and 2024 RB prospects in contention for the 1.01 for your upcoming rookie drafts. Do you want giant, bruising mammoth RBs? We got you. Maybe you want more undersized shifty, pass-catching playmakers? We got you there too. And, of course, we got the do-it-all guys too. Whatever your favorite archetype at the running back position is, I’m sure you’ll find something you like below.
The production metrics are some of the analytics I look at when evaluating RB performance and what actually translates to fantasy football success at the NFL level. Descriptions for each statistic are listed at the bottom of the graphic.
This is just one SMALL part of the work that goes into JB's analytic database. To gain access to these types of charts and much more subscribe at the All-American level tier below!
Over the years, we have witnessed Alabama put many talented wide receivers in the NFL, Julio Jones, Amari Cooper, Devonta Smith, and Jaylen Waddle; the list goes on and on. Jermaine Burton is next on the list as he continues to rise in our devy mocks month after month. The former Bulldog has gone from a 4th round afterthought with an ADP of 45.0 in June to an ADP of 26.0 in August. With industry mocks pegging him as a first-round talent and tons of praise coming his way from last year’s Heisman winner, Bryce Young, I expect Burton to have a career year and become the primary option in this offense.
On the flip side, I have noticed a downward spiral trending on Mario Williams, the USC Trojan. In June, he was regularly drafted in the third or fourth round of our devy mocks with an ADP of 38.8 but has since plummeted in August to being completely unconsidered through five rounds. Do we see Mario Williams as nothing more than a slot receiver at the next level with his diminutive frame? Is it the presence of the 2022 Biletnikoff winner Jordan Addison coming to town to take his lunch money? In any event, this sophomore wideout will have his work cut out for him to carve a role and regain our favor in 2022.
To start with some old news from last week, we have some more information on Irv Smith Jr’s injury. He suffered a thumb injury that required surgery and is expected to return near Week One (ready by week one, if not slightly before). Given the timeframe and location of the injury, I am speculating that he had a UCL tear in his thumb that required a repair. If there were a fracture, he likely would have had it pinned and could return relatively quickly, such as within a two-to-three week window. Despite the injury, expect Smith to be able to produce starting week one.
Darren Waller has remained out of practice since July 30 with an undisclosed injury. I’m simply monitoring this, as he could return in a week or two and produce at his usual pace. Keep an eye out for any information from the team.
Melvin Gordon was held out for an unspecified foot injury, but it sounds minor. I believe if there were any long-term concerns here, such as a fracture or other significant injury, we would have heard by now. Pump the brakes on the Javonte Williams train for now.
Kadarius Toney has been ramping up his workload in attempts to return from off-season knee surgery, however suffered a setback after straining his right hamstring, per reports. Not sure what else to say about Toney at this point. There are very few players who truly fit the definition of injury prone, and he is one of them.
Veteran returner Jakeem Grant suffered an Achilles tear and is out for the season. This isn’t necessarily fantasy relevant, but if you have a league that earns points for return yards, it sounds like Demetric Felton will be the injury replacement.
Other minor injuries that carry low concern: Mike Evans (hamstring), Russell Gage (hamstring), Najee Harris (foot, stepped on), Jameis Winston (ankle sprain), Diontae Johnson (hip flexor), Kenneth Gainwell (hip), Devonta Smith (groin), Parris Campbell (hamstring).
It’s important to remember that during training camp and preseason, workload is being ramped up so soft tissue injuries will be common. Most will be minor. No need to panic at this stage.
🚨TRADE OF THE WEEK 🚨
This trade is brought to you by the good people of DD in our exclusive trade channel where we only post and discuss dynasty trades. The basics here are 12-Team Dynasty Superflex Tight End Premium.
Drake has been WR1 for this class for a hot minute. No denying that at all. While I absolutely love him, this is not how I prefer to spend my assets. The main problem I find with this deal is that in all likelihood, London may not be worth this same haul next year. He doesn’t have the luxury of having a great situation. His value may fall off from here due to abysmal QB play. Could you have made this exact deal this time next year? The answer is a resounding yes for me.
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Beyond the Mic🎙
@IowaMike Gives us a heads up on 2023 Assets
Regarding selling assets for a random/late 23 1st, I find myself cringing more and more at the exact assets being sold. While we all can acknowledge how great we think the class will be, the fact remains that those backend 1sts are bound to be the same if not worse from a value standpoint as the players you’re selling off this time next year. Why sacrifice the production now? I agree there is a range I’d pivot and move for ANY 23 1st but I do not believe that range is players going in the 4-6th round in startups currently. Like my gandpappy always told me, “add in a 2nd and I’m game.”
You can check out all the content that the 4D Guys dropped this past week ⬇️
@FantasyGenes targets this undervalued TE out in LA .
Last year, the Chargers' high-powered offense was rated 10th by PFF and was 2nd in passing attempts(672). Jared Cook was 14th in TE targets last season while being 34 years old and 2nd in drops. I believe Gerald Everett in this same offense is a TE target that everyone should look to the draft. When I close my eyes and imagine a superior athlete like Everett in the slot 46% of the plays(Cook 4th in '21) in this offense……I see instant magic!
Currently, his ADP in Sleeper is TE20/172nd overall, so he is basically free in standard redraft leagues. Playing in a condensed, elite offense like the Chargers will have a player like Everett outperform his ADP easily, and a TE1 season is in the range of outcomes. I will wait until double digits rounds for a TE, and Everett will be the target!
Fade Clyde?@just_ike09 tells us why
Through his two years in the NFL, Clyde-Edwards Helaire has failed to live up to his 1st round draft capital & fantasy expectations. You can chalk it up to injuries or a plethora of other things, but the bottom line is that he’s been ineffective. His 0.73 YPRR (yards per route run) ranked 64th out of 68 qualifyings RBs - which was worse than his teammates. He averaged the lowest PPG of any Chiefs RB that started in 2021. He ceded GL carries to Darrel Williams (14 to 2) while also being out-snapped by Jerick McKinnon (79%, 70%, 79% snap share) in the playoffs.
McKinnon is back & they signed Ronald Jones this off-season (a better between-the-tackles runner). To top this off, there are reports out of training camp that 7th-round rookie Isiah Pacheco has impressed & has been taking 1st team reps on a regular basis.
Currently going off the board as the RB25 & squarely in the “RB dead zone” (6th round; Sleeper ADP), CEH is a landmine I’m avoiding in drafts this fall. Pass on him and strongly consider taking these guys that go later, such as Kareem Hunt, Chase Edmonds, Tony Pollard & Rhamondre Stevenson.
@EricVanekNFL gives out some deep stashes for our dynasty
Training camp is now getting into the fun part for us and the players, THE GAMES! We’re here now, and this week I want to give you a couple late round guys, UDFA guys who might be on your Waiver Wire right now that you can pick up for your rosters.
First up is RB Jaylen Warren for the Pittsburgh Steelers. Warren is a UDFA RB out of Oklahoma State who was 1,000+ yard back last season for them. Warren has drawn rave reviews so far at camp with his power, vision, and balance, among other qualities. Benny Snell admitted that his primary role this year would be in special teams. I think Warren has a shot at landing the RB2 spot here in Pittsburgh with a solid pre-season. He is virtually free right now on your waiver wire. Go pick him up and see what happens!
Next is Trestan Ebner, a 6th Round rookie pick out of Baylor by the Chicago Bears. Ebner is another running back with a good shot to make the team the RB3. He is an excellent pass catcher; he had 127 career catches in college and saw at least 20 passes all five years at Baylor. Ebner is also going to play some special teams for the Bears, and who did that last year? Khalil Herbert. If Ebner can get on the field, he will definitely be a PPR asset with his pass-catching ability, explosiveness, and YAC ability. This is another guy who may still be on your waiver wires that you can pick up for free and stash and reap the rewards.
Last and certainly not least is RB Isiah Pacheco out of Rutgers, 7th Round pick for Kansas City. Isiah is a 216-pound back with 4.37 wheels at the combine and is also another player who is drawing rave reviews at camp. He's also recently worked in the first team offense and Patrick Mahomes. Pass blocking, pass-catching, running the ball, you name it, Pacheco has been doing great so far at camp. He may still be another player who is on your waiver wires that could easily be a home run type pick-up for you if things work out for him. So far, everything sounds like the Chiefs may have stolen this young speedster in the seventh round and can give the Chiefs that home run speed option at the RB spot that they've been craving since Jamaal Charles' car. The name of the game right now is picking up these RBs and seeing what happens in the pre-season games.
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