Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy! 

Fast Five Facts leading into Week Seven

All Stats Are Courtesy of The 33rd Team's Edge 

1.) Carson Wentz leads the league in total air yards with 1766.

2.) Leonard Fournette leads the league in catch percentage from the RB position at 91.4% (Min 15 catches).

3.)Taysom Hill had only 1 target and reception despite being TE8 on the season. 

4.)Tyreek Hill leads the league with 46 receptions from the slot.

5.) The Kansas City Chiefs allow the most yards receiving to the running back position with 390 (65 Yards per game).

VIDEO OF THE WEEK 

Week 7 NFL Prop bet courtesy of MySpari.Com

Kenneth Walker played in 47 snaps in his first start and ended up with 21 carries (out of the 23 total RB carries).

He finished with 97 yards rushing. The Chargers have a wretched rushing defense and the Seahawks will have to establish the run if they want to keep this game close.

Give me the over 67.5 Rushing Yards for a high-volume back.

Let’s get paid!

-DFSnDonuts

Week 8 College Football Pick 

Max Duggan got us back on the winning track by going over his 28 fantasy score in their come-from-behind victory against Oklahoma State. New week, new opportunity!

This week's prop to look at is Bijan Robinson Over 105.5 Rushing Yards.

Bijan has been on a tear lately and this week we are targeting the same porous Oklahoma State defense. They couldn't stop TCU, and they certainly won't stop Robinson on Sunday. the Texas RB has gone over this line in 3 of his last 5 games, and we think he will go over this number comfortably.

 Click the button below and tail the Bijan Robinson play! Best of Luck

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After last week’s huge win 52-49 over Alabama, 2023 QB Hendon Hooker is in this week’s player spotlight. Hooker has led Tennessee to a 6-0 record to start the year and has the Volunteers ranked in the top 3 of the most recent AP poll. In the game against Alabama, Hooker put up 385 passing yards, 56 rushing yards, 5 passing TDs, and maintained a 70% completion percentage. 

As you take a look at the above graphic, you see a lot of green, even dating back to his time at Virginia Tech. That’s obviously a very good thing, especially when you see him maintaining those levels while, theoretically, going up in conference level (ACC to SEC). Hooker has about a 66.6% career completion percentage and a career yard per attempt of 9.8. Additionally, his numbers have jumped since joining the SEC and has a 12.2 adjusted yard per attempt in 2022, which puts him near the top of the entire college world. One last thing us fantasy managers love to see is the added value he has on the ground.

Hooker’s rise has begun since the beginning of the year, but he is now rocketing up draft boards. His age will be a yellow flag once the draft cycle hits. Hooker will be 25 when the 2023 NFL Draft hits in April. Since 2004, only four QBs have been drafted at the age of 25 or higher: Matt Mauck (Round 7 in 2004), John Beck (Round 2 in 2007), Levi Brown (Round 7 in 2010), and Brandon Weeden (Round 1 in 2012). None of the four QBs have recorded any top 12 fantasy football seasons. 

Tennessee has two major, regular season tests this coming up: October 29th vs #19 Kentucky and November 5th at #1 Georgia. Hooker’s NFL Draft fate could be sealed with those two games, a potential SEC Championship, and Tennessee’s bowl game. Time will tell, but this will be a fun prospect to watch.

This is just one SMALL part of the work that goes into JB's analytic database. To gain access to these types of charts and much more subscribe at the All-American level tier below! 

I have to start with a follow-up from last week.  Shout out to Hendon Hooker; he passed the first test against Alabama with flying colors, completing 21 of 30 pass attempts to the tune of 385 yards with five touchdowns with only one interception; I am impressed, to say the least!  Hooker has become a hot topic lately as we watch this prospect continue to rise on our draft boards in both devy and the 2023 rookie mocks we are conducting.

As we eclipse the midway point of the college season, Chase Brown continues to be forgotten despite his capability to handle a massive workload while leading the nation in rushing.  Illinois has fed him 192 carries for 1059 yards and 15 receptions for 107 yards, plus he has found the endzone six times with half the season still to go.  With an ADP of 33.0 in the month of October, this puts him in as a late third-round sleeper for our rookie drafts, and he is currently the RB13 of the 2023 class by our ADP.  Chase Brown demonstrates his ability to walk into an offense and handle 20-plus touches a game when called upon.  As a fellow countryman, I am rooting for this Canadian to find his way into more than just a backup role at the next level.

Blake Corum is a name no one forgets about these days, as his ADP has blown up to 15.0 in October for our 2023 rookie mocks.  The Michigan prospect is second in the nation to Chase Brown in rushing yards, with 901 yards on 145 attempts and 13 touchdowns already.  At 5’8”, 210lbs, the Wolverine running back is built like a bowling ball, yet he has enough speed to beat defenders to the edge.  Corum only has seven receptions on the year so far but did flash more in the receiving game last year, so I am not too concerned about his hands.  When you have this unique combination of size and speed and the production to back it up, he will continue to rise our boards as we get closer to the draft.

Injuries continue to take their toll every week. While we’ll potentially be without a few studs, we’re getting several back. Let’s dive in.

Jonathan Taylor (ankle) has returned to full participation and is expected to play. I’d anticipate him playing at 95-100% of his norm, wheels up. Saquon Barkley (shoulder) remains limited, but there should be little concern about his status for this week. Damien Harris (hamstring) has returned to full participation, so we’ll find out how his return will affect this backfield but anticipate Rhamondre Stevenson to get plenty of run still. JK Dobbins (knee) continues to miss practice, so keep a close eye on his status, and good luck guessing which running back will take the lead in Baltimore. D’Andre Swift (shoulder) remains limited, which is interesting because he hasn’t been able to participate fully, so keep an eye on this one.

Russell Wilson (hamstring) remains limited but has stated he will attempt to play through the new injury (good luck). Dak Prescott (right thumb) has had no limitations and is in line to return to play. Mac Jones (ankle) will reportedly be available for Monday night’s game. However, we have no idea if Mac or Bailey Zappe will start, so I would bench him this week. Kenny Pickett (concussion) has practiced in full twice now, so I expect him to start this week.

Marquise Brown (ankle/fracture) has been placed on IR due to an avulsion fracture on a bone in his ankle, so he will miss at least four weeks with the potential for closer to 6 weeks. Ja’Marr Chase (hip) remains limited in practice but is expected to play. Keep an eye on his status. Keenan Allen (hamstring) has been able to practice in a limited fashion. However, in a recent interview, he stated that he might take one more week to get closer to 100% if needed. Jaylen Waddle (shoulder) has been limited in practice, but he and McDaniel have said he plans to play. Marvin Jones (hamstring) remains limited, though not sure you’re relying on him for fantasy right now. Kendrick Bourne (turf toe) and Nelson Agholor (hamstring) will likely miss this week, leading to another big week from rookie Tyquan Thornton. Another rookie Jahan Dotson (hamstring), re-injured his hamstring in practice on Thursday so that we could be without him for another 2-4 weeks after a setback.

Mark Andrews (knee) has not been able to practice yet this week, but it may simply be veteran rest with the ability to practice Friday (have a backup plan ready, though). Darren Waller (hamstring) remains out of practice and will miss this week. Pat Freiermuth (concussion) has been practicing in full, but I would sit him for now due to the risk of re-injury.

There are many more updates, especially after full injury reports come out, so be sure to tune in to the Destination Devy Injury Pod that drops on Sunday morning before setting your lineups, and follow me @jmthrivept for live updates.

Beyond the Mic🎙

@Mcnutted gives some advice on rebuilding.

2022 didn't go how you planned it? Don't fret. Learn to be bad. It's ok to stink at dynasty for a few years. If you've followed any of the content Adam and I put out, you know the basics of rebuilding. That being said, here's the cold hard truth. 

Some people have the ability to cobble garbage pile rosters together and make it work year after year. If you're like me, you're not one of those people. Instead, the edges you can find come in asset ascension over multiple years. Think of dynasty assets like Josh Jacobs, Stefan Diggs, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce. All of them are performing well right now, but they have almost 0 chance of going up in value next year and certainly the year after. These are just a few examples, and there are practically endless current cases of static or value decline assets in dynasties.

Flip these players at the first chance on a rebuild. Divest into DC and young players are likely to see a value increase heading into 2023. Most of the time, it comes in the form of a one-for-two or three kinds of deal—the downtier. Say you've moved three stagnant assets for a total return of six possible ascending assets. If only 50% hit, you've tread water and reset your age timeline by multiple years. That's still a win. Now say four hit. Big win for you. There are all kinds of depressed young assets to divest too. Elijah Moore, DJM, Mac Jones, or really any 2021 QB from that class to name a few. Go out and start being bad in 2022, and be ready to laugh when you're inevitably right and smashing in 2023 and beyond.

-McNutted 

 @FantasyGenes gives us two matchups to watch this week.

Let's talk about a few matchups I like this week for your lineups and possible player prop plays.

Dallas' offense vs Detroit's Defense

Dak is back this week and no better way to get your legs under you than to play one of the worst defenses in the league.  Detroit gives up

• 22.5 fantasy pts per game to QBs - 31st

• 127 rush yards per game - 31st

• 28.9 fantasy pts per game to RBs - 31st

• 31st in coverage grade per PFF

• 68% completion to WRs - 4th highest

You can start Dak, Zeke, Lamb with confidence.  Can also put Pollard into your lineups.  On PrizePicks, I like the Lamb ov67.5 rec yards.  He runs 73% of his routes from the slot and Det gives up the 10th most fantasy pts per game to the slot(21.9).

Kenneth Walker vs Chargers defense

Walker has come onto the scene in a big way once Penny was ruled out for the season.  He faces a run defense that is once again not good.  Walker is 1st in breakaway rate and 4th in missed tackles forced per PFF.  The Chargers' run defense is:

• 22nd in rush DVOA

• 115 rush yards per game -23rd

• 5.8 yards per carry - 32nd

• 28.6 fantasy points per game to RBs - 29th

You can start Walker everywhere with confidence.  On PrizePicks, I really like the o65.5 rush line especially if the game stays close.

 @EricVanekNFL gives us his best options in Week Seven.

It is now time for Week 7, the major bye-week apocalypse! The Eagles, Rams, Bills, and Vikings are all on bye. Some major fantasy stars are on bye this week, so hopefully, we can give you some good advice on deeper players to play in your lineup this week. Last week, we did alright here. Stafford was solid enough for you, Eno was a letdown, Tyler Boyd was fine, and Zach Gentry was a big giant WOOF (sorry about that!). This week though, we’re going to make up for it with many players on bye this week. This should help out a lot of people this week.

I will be looking at FantasyPros ECR rankings to give you a look of guys outside the top 12 at QB, top 24 RB , top 36 WR, and top 12 at TE as some sleeper options to play this week.

If you need a streamer at QB this week, I am liking QB Jimmy Garoppolo against the Kansas City Chiefs at home. We all know the Chiefs and the Mahomes offense can score, so I’m expecting Jimmy G to have to throw a little bit more in this one. Jimmy G should have a decent day here when you have weapons like Deebo, Kittle, and Aiyuk, like last week. The Superbowl rematch as well. You know Jimmy is going to be hyped up to go up against them again in this one. I would be willing to throw Jimmy G in there with these weapons and see what happens.

The RB this week that I like outside the top 24 is number 33, and that is Jamaal Williams. I’m surprised he is rated this low with how good he has been this year. Jamaal has taken every carry in the red zone this year for Detroit, and I don’t see that stopping anytime soon. The lions have been able to move the ball pretty well (minus that shitty New England game). So I think Jamaal should be a solid RB2 you can play who has a decent shot of getting in the end zone for you this week.

The WR for me this week is another one I'm shocked is this low, and that is WR 41 Hunter Renfrow. Waller still has a little bit of a hammy issue, and Moreau has been banged up as well. I think this should be an Adams and Renfrow match-up. Now Renfrow does have a tough match-up against the Texans slot corner, but Renfrow and Carr have such great chemistry that it doesn't worry me too much. Renfrow should be a very solid #3 WR for you this week in PPR; fire him up. 

This week my tight end is #17 this week, and that is Noah Fant of the Seattle Seahawks. They’ve started to get Fant the ball more and more each week, finally, and in a game that I expect to be a high scoring affair, Fant would be my guy this week. I think Fant can get open this week against the Chargers' LBs and Safeties. I think Fant should have a pretty solid week this week and hopefully be a nice top-12 TE for you this week. Geno has been super efficient, and I think it continues this week.

Good luck to everyone in week 7! Hopefully you can survive the bye apocalypse!

Podcasts This Week 

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Join the Destination Devy Squad

Alvin Kamara (ribs) has returned to practice, and the expectation is that he will be able to return to play this week. David Montgomery (ankle) is expected to practice and play this week, per source, but keep an eye on his practice status. Breece Hall (knee) has now been limited to two practices, although the staff has said he’s simply dealing with nicks and bruises so I would watch his status closely. Rashaad Penny (shoulder) has been limited, but the injury is not expected to keep him from playing this week. Brian Robinson has a decent chance to make his debut this week, a remarkable recovery from an awful situation this preseason.

Rashod Bateman (midfoot sprain) will likely miss one or two games, depending on the severity and ability to practice. Gabriel Davis (ankle) remains limited by his ankle injury, but as @BangedUpBills suggests, he may be a good buy low to production post-week seven byes. Tee Higgins (ankle) suffered a mild ankle sprain Thursday Night, but it is not expected to keep him from playing. Jahan Dotson (hamstring) is expected to miss at least one to two games, while Curtis Samuel (illness) continues to miss practices so keep an eye on the latter’s status for game day. Hunter Renfrow (concussion) was spotted participating in practice, and his return likely depends on his ability to practice without any symptoms. Jaylen Waddle (groin) has been able to practice, so I do believe this is more of a week-to-week maintenance plan by Miami to have him limited in certain practices leading up to game days. At some point, I’ll have to stop talking about Kadarius Toney (hamstring) since I’m only supposed to speak about fantasy-relevant players, but word is he got a limited practice on Wednesday and may have suffered another setback, as he was unable to practice on Thursday.

Of note, Kyle Pitts (hamstring) has been unable to practice, putting his status for week 5 in jeopardy so keep an eye on his status. David Njoku (knee) has been managing a knee sprain but continues to play, so anticipate him having rest days/DNP throughout the season until it is closer to 100%. Dawson Knox (hamstring) has now dealt with a foot, back, hip, and new hamstring injury this season across 4 weeks, so you may want to continue to find a pivot. TJ Hockenson (hip) has been managing hip discomfort for the last 2 weeks or so, so anticipate him playing again this week.

Beyond the Mic🎙

@ATM explains to us why staying attached to a player in a rebuild could be a bad process.

Four weeks of the season are in the books, and week 5 starts Thursday with the Broncos and Colts game. The game that was supposed to feature two young stud running backs viewed by many as potential league winners now is featuring Nyheim Hines versus Melvin Gordon and Mike Boone. Yikes. We have already seen so much attrition in 4 weeks, and it is showing no signs of slowing down. On top of the fact that we have injuries piling up, you really need to keep in mind that bye weeks start next week. If you are a contending roster, take an intense look at your team and depth. Do you have three quarterbacks that you would feel comfortable starting? Could your team handle 3 to 4 injuries to the wide receiver and running back positions? If the answer to either of those questions is “no,” do you have liquid currency with rookie picks to help replace an injury blow?

When you ask those questions and look at your team through that lens, you might realize your strong contender is more fragile than you expected. The good news is you may be having this realization before the potential catastrophe has taken place. Let’s talk about how you can address this now.

Right now, if you have A.J. Brown on your team, you are feeling excellent about his play, his connection with Jalen Hurts, and how he has been scoring points for your fantasy team. This may make you hesitant to trade him, but what happens if A.J. Brown has an untimely injury for your team? Last year he missed four weeks (essentially 5 when you include him getting hurt early in week 3), he hit IR right during the fantasy playoffs, and he hasn’t played an entire season since 2019. Could he stay healthy? Absolutely he could, but what if you could protect yourself from this risk but also replicate his points in your lineup? Does this sound too good to be true? What if I told you it’s not? Insert the tier-down approach.

The tier-down approach is a great way to increase your depth and, if executed correctly, still leave your starting roster very strong. There are multiple ways to approach this, but I will give you an example using Dynasty Berry’s WoRP data and keeptradecut.com for trade values. A.J. Brown is dynasty WR3 on keeptradecut.com, and according to Berry’s 2022 WoRP spreadsheet, he is 9th at the receiver position at 1.40. One spot below A.J. Brown is Christian Kirk at 1.37. Keeptradecut.com has Christian Kirk as the WR26 using their crowdsourced data, and according to their trade calculator, A.J. Brown will net you Christian Kirk and a late 2023 1st. Based on what we have seen in the first four weeks of the season, Christian Kirk looks poised to be very close to A.J. Brown in points per game, and now you also have a 1st in your pocket to protect yourself from injuries to either Christian Kirk or another player on your team. The best-case scenario would be that you can avoid injuries for the remainder of the season. As then fantasy football playoffs approach, you can leverage that pick to strengthen your roster even further!

You may not get that exact deal done in your league, but that is the idea and there is a plethora of players and options to which you can apply the tier down approach.

When your league mates are playing chess, play 4D chess.

-ATM

You can check out all the content that the 4D Guys dropped this past week ⬇️ 

 @FantasyGenes has some ideas on how to treat these early-season RB producers

Fantasy has had a funky start through the first 4 games.  We got players like Jared Goff and Clyde Edwards-Helaire sitting in the Top 5 in their particular positions.  I am here to talk about a player that is ranked RB23 currently and you should be looking to trade for.

Devin Singletary is an RB that you should target in your leagues. In the last two weeks, we have seen usage go up as the Bills have been dealing with injuries, playing more formidable opponents, and have been RB12. In week 4, we saw Singletary have a 79% route participation, play 87% of snaps, and have 55% of the rushing attempts. These numbers are in line with how he finished the last seven games of the 2021 season, including the playoff run, and we saw how well he played. Moss and Cook have not seen any inside the five carries, 2 mins offense, or long down and distance snaps. Also, Singletary is # 1 in routes ran for RBs at 99….opportunity to participate in the passing game is key for RBs(especially in PPR leagues).

Go to your leagues and get some Devin Singletary before everyone catches on!

 @EricVanekNFL gives us his best options in Week Five.

Week 5 is upon us and last week was not so good for this column but we’re going to rebound here this week and get us some great picks outside the top picks this week for you in Week 5.

I will be looking at FantasyPros ECR rankings to give you a look at guys outside the top 12 at QB, top 24 RB, top 36 WR, and top 12 at TE as some sleeper options to play this week.

At QB this week, I am going with the NFL record holder for the highest completion percentage through four weeks in NFL history. Everyone saw this coming, right? …..Right?.... No?.... Geno Smith! Geno has been what the Seahawks wanted him to be. An excellent game manager who isn’t turning the ball over. He’s making the right reads and throws now and has been good so far. This week he goes against the Saints DEF that just got beat up a little by Minnesota. I think Geno is in line for another solid game on the road, just like he did against Detroit last week. If I need a QB this week, why not go with Geno here, who can do a little bit on the ground for you? 

At the RB spot this weekend, I will take the easy route and go with RB25, according to ECR, Breece Hall. Breece has been steadily taking over that backfield week by week now. He’s running many routes, and I think this is when Breece takes a stranglehold on this backfield and posts some excellent fantasy numbers.I am looking forward to seeing what Breece can do in what could be a potentially high-scoring match against Miami this weekend.

This week at WR I am going to go to the old vet, Robert Woods of the Tennessee Titans. Washington has been getting torched in the air as of late and with Tennessee losing Burks for a few weeks I think Robert Woods should absolutely get force-fed here in a good situation. If I got Robert Woods I am going to easily fire him up in this matchup. If you have Woods and you’re not playing him this week then what's the point of having him? 

TE has been the position of yuck again this year, but I think this week I will go back to my pick last week, and that is TE Logan Thomas for Washington. He had an ok last week; he’s running many routes and should get the usage this week. Another significant factor here is that Jahan Dotson will also miss a few games. I think this should mean even more potential work for Logan here. Like him in this match-up against Tennessee after Indianapolis just scorched them with TEs last week. I love this play this week.

Good luck to everyone here in Week 5! 

Five Facts leading into Week 5 

(All stats courtesy of the 33rd Team Edge)

1.) Jalen Hurts is averaging 9.1 Yards per attempt. That's first in QBs who have played all season 

2.) Josh Jacobs leads running backs with 13 missed tackles. For context, that's .19 per rushing attempt.

3.) Davante Adams has a 55.3% Catch percentage on 47 targets. If this % holds, it would be his worst catch percentage since 2015.

4.) Will Dissly has 3 Touchdowns while only commanding a 9.3% target share in Seattle

5.) The San Fransisco 49ers allow 2.9 YPC. They are the only team currently allowing less than 3 yards per rush.

Podcasts This Week 

Free-mium ⛽️🔥

The All Gas Newsletter is here to provide you with nothing but premium content for FREE in an easily digestible format to showcase the best of what we have going on throughout the week. Our staff does a tremendous job of making sure this content comes to you weekly, so be sure to give them a follow if you like their stuff to show your support for their work.