⛽️🔥 Week 2 CFB & Week 1 NFL picks/Injury updates

Jacob Cowing Love, 2023 Rookie ADP help, and More

Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy!

VIDEO OF THE WEEK

Week 1 NFL Prop bet courtesy of MySpari.Com

Dalton Schultz o4.5 REC -125 BetMGM is looking mighty fine in Week 1.

Schultz had himself a fine 2021-2022 NFL season that was likely buoyed by injury up and down the roster.

And here we are in 2022 and his opportunity is only going to increase. With a limited Michael Gallup and a rookie wide receiver in Jalen Tolbert, Dalton should once again have his time in the sun for the first half of the NFL season.

In a game that could feature two high-scoring offenses, the MySpari model has simulated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs the Dallas Cowboys 10,000 times for the Week 1 matchup. This was Dalton Schultz's average stat-line across those sims: 6.1 TGT, 5 REC, 51.4 (Re)YDS, 0.5 (Re)TD.

Give me the over.

With more than two-dozen player props and NFL Picks posted on Discord, there is plenty to go around. View more information via https://www.patreon.com/spari

Let's get paid,

Ray's Week 2 College Football picks

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A couple of players that transferred up into a Power 5 conference this year showed out this weekend, but none shined brighter than Arizona’s Jacob Cowing. The fourth-year wide receiver led his new team in receptions (8), receiving yards (152), and receiving touchdowns (3) while sharing the field with highly ranked freshman WR Tetairoa McMillan (2025 eligible).

San Diego State also has a respectable defense. Per The Athletic, “Since 2014, the Aztecs have finished no worse than 32nd in the FBS in scoring defense or 33rd in yards per play allowed. They ranked 16th and 8th in those categories last season. The program has found a sustainable path to steady defense.” PFF also had SDSU’s defense ranked in the top 20 in 2021, and the only key departure was Cameron Thomas. This wasn’t just an easy Week 1 matchup for Cowing and the Wildcats.

At UTEP, Cowing posted multiple fantastic seasons, especially when looking at efficiency metrics and dominator ratings. Additionally, his average target depth has been in the double digits every year (career of 15.5) and his yards after the catch per reception have been around 6.0, showing his versatile playmaking ability. Lastly, his career yards per route run is 3.15 (including3.82 in 2021 and 4.34 in his first game in 2022).

Jacob Cowing is clearly a huge breakout candidate this year and if Week 1 is any indication of how the season is going to go, he’s going to break out in a big way at the Power 5 level. He is definitely a name to keep an eye on going forward in this 2022 NCAA season and one to remember come the 2023 Rookie Draft season.

This is just one SMALL part of the work that goes into JB's analytic database. To gain access to these types of charts and much more subscribe at the All-American level tier below!

Newton’s third law states that for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. Fantasy gamers are out here on a mission to prove Sir Isaac wrong as we overreact to a single week of college football in our mock drafts. I’m seeing names pop up that were never mentioned once in any of the conversations. I’ve shared with the community a single blow-up game in the first week of action does not equal long-term success. People in the dynasty space talk a lot about having a process, but I think when push comes to shove a lot of that gets thrown out the window as evidenced by these overreactions. Simply put, some of these prospects will have great college seasons no doubt, but not all of them are actual NFL-caliber talents that should be on our radar for the purposes of fantasy football. The disconnect between the NFL draft community and the dynasty gaming community is real, be mindful of this when you are on the clock.

We ran dozens of mocks this summer for our 2023 rookie ADP and across all of those mocks, and in those mocks, 22 prospects were selected in every single draft.

In a traditional 12-team rookie draft we are two prospects shy of a full two rounds, so this week, I want you all to engage with me and tell me who’s missing. Who deserved to be drafted every single time that was not? Click below and let me know!

Week one is here! As we are in the midst of the first week of team injury reports, let’s take a look at some key names to watch for:

It is officially the first week of the NFL season when Christian McCaffrey winds up on the injury report! Everyone can stay calm, as he is just dealing with a cut on his shin after being cleated.

George Kittle suffered a recent groin strain on 9/5, putting his week one status in question. Reports came out that it may be a grade 2, which, if true, could take 2-4 weeks to heal. Have a backup plan ready, as it sounds like he will miss week one.

Michael Thomas (hamstring) remains limited in practice, but he has been adamant that he will play. Keep a close eye on him. If the team clears him, I think you can start him in week one.

Rondale Moore has been attempting to return from an undisclosed injury, however, suffered a setback today when he strained his hamstring. He will be undergoing an MRI, but his status for week one now sounds like it is in serious doubt. Bench him until further notice.

JK Dobbins remains limited in practice, putting his availability for week one in doubt. Even if Dobbins is active for this first game of the season, here is what I plan on doing with him in fantasy.

Jaylen Waddle (quad) and Chase Edmonds (groin) were both full participants. Wheels up for week one.

Diontae Johnson (left shoulder) remains limited in practice and he has recently said he has not been able to do everything he would need to do in a game. Keep a close eye on his availability, it may come down to the wire.

Allen Lazard (ankle) remains a DNP, and Robert Tonyan (ACL+) remains LP, so keep a close eye on these two. If Lazard can log an LP or FP and is cleared to play, I think you can play him in fantasy this week. I recommend benching Tonyan until we see him produce.

There are many more players to update, but watch for the Destination Devy Injury Pod posting on Sunday morning before the games. I will be compiling all last-minute injury details from final team injury reports to provide the clearest picture of what to expect from injured players in fantasy this week. Follow me @jmthrivept for live updates as well, and good luck!

🚨TRADE OF THE WEEK 🚨 

A Wakeup League Special! To me, this is exactly what I have been preaching. In bestball leagues, the tier down is king. Pun intended. I’m not the biggest Hollywood guy out there by far, but let’s be honest, Pittman and Hollywood should be reasonably close in scoring this year. I’m not saying that Hollywood is going to outscore Pittman. I’m crazy, not insane. They should, however, be within a point or two of each other in PPG. Saying that, with a 24 1st AND a 23 2nd, you can easily buy a productive player outright. That would leave you at least TWO possible weekly lineup scorers in a bestball. I’m no expert, well… maybe… but simple math dictates TWO>ONE. Think of it this way; if I use ole KTC for a late 23 2nd and a late 24 1st, it would net you another WR in the range of Mooney, Gabe Davis, ARSB, or Brandon Aiyuk easily. Those types of WRs gave you roughly 6-8 above average startable weeks and 2-3 spike weeks. Almost the same as Michael Pittman last year. Factor in Hollywood, and this is a slam dunk to Ray Finkle. Laces out, DAN!

If you want access to hundreds of trades per week from a group that's tapped into dynasty fantasy football 24/7 click the button below and subscribe to the All-Conference tier. For less than .25 cents per day get access to this channel as well as multiple databases to help you dominate your dynasty leagues.

Beyond the Mic🎙

@ATM talks about being active and striking at the right time dynasty wise

Week 1 is HERE! We finally made it, and we could not be more excited that football is back. As players score points for fantasy teams, dynasty managers can become very reactionary. There will be a lot of reactionary movement based on the first few weeks of performances.

Being active and looking for opportunities to improve your fantasy team is essential. However, I would caution you when making trades at this time. The NFL is a week-to-week league! Teddy Bridgewater was a QB1 in fantasy after two weeks last season. Sam Darnold had five rushing TDs in the first four weeks last season, and I saw him go for 1st round rookie picks in more than one league last year.

There are a handful of players which I will be closely monitoring the value of these first several weeks of the season. Mac Jones and Kenny Pickett at QB, Kadarius Toney, Brandon Aiyuk, Juju Smith-Schuster at WR, Cam Akers, and Antonio Gibson at RB are just a few of the guys I am closely monitoring. These players are polarizing and currently being viewed very differently by many in the dynasty community, so their production (or lack thereof) could swing the value of these players pretty significantly.

As always, look to buy low and sell high, but be careful about who you are buying based on a few weeks of NFL action.

You can check out all the content that the 4D Guys dropped this past week ⬇️

@FantasyGenes talks about how Betting lines can help us with lineup decisions for Week One

Setting lineup season is finally here! On this week’s pod, we wanted to hit each game and things to look for each player we deemed important for potential lineup decisions.

A data point that goes overlooked in lineup decision-making is Vegas lines. We need to know what Vegas thinks and is predicting about said game because they are incentivized to make precise lines.

For example, the Browns vs. Panthers game has a total of 41.5, and the Panthers are favored by 2.5 points. So Vegas, this will be a close low-scoring game since the game is only expected to see 6 TDS. As fantasy owners, we are now taking this information and trying to decipher how the team is going to score and who is going to score points.

Check who’s favored, the spread, and the total. This can help your process of how the game flow will be, neutral, positive, or negative, in your favor, and in turn, help make lineup decisions if you are stuck when talking through each game you have exposure to.

 @EricVanekNFL breaks down where he is looking for value plays at each position.

It’s here! Week 1 at last. We’re finally getting ready to put our lineups out there for Week 1 of the NFL season and I’m going to give you some deeper plays I like at each position this week for the starting lineups you should be considering. I will be looking at Fantasy Pros ECR rankings to give you a look at guys outside the top 12 at QB, top 24 RB, top 36 WR, and top 12 at TE as some sleeper options to play this week.

At Quarterback, I’m going to go with #15 ranked QB Kirk Cousins. Last year in his one game against Green Bay, (he missed the other due to COVID late in the year and we got to see Sean Mannion play on Sunday Night Football. WOOF!) Cousins threw for 341 yards and 3 Touchdowns on Green Bay. I know Green Bay is a little healthier in the secondary this year, but I still think in this game Cousins is going to get it done. He has a healthy Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen, K.J. Osborn, and Irv Smith, not to mention Dalvin Cook as well. I think this is a higher-scoring game this week. I would start Kirk Cousins with confidence this week as a top 12 option.

Next at Running back for your team who is going Hero RB, or Zero RB, I would fire up Tony Pollard for the Dallas Cowboys with some confidence this week. Pollard should be a focal point early on lining up as a WR at times as well as running the ball. With a lack of options in Dallas with Gallup hurt, Noah Brown really getting his first time starting, and Jalen Tolbert his first professional game. I think Dallas is going to lean on Pollard in this high-scoring affair a little bit more than they did in last year's opener. Dallas mistakenly didn’t get Pollard the ball enough in last year's Thursday night opener against Tampa Bay. I don’t think they will make the same mistake again. I think Pollard is a lock for 10+ PPR points this week and is a great RB2 or Flex Option.

Wide receiver this week, I don’t think this one is too hard for me at all. That would be WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling of the Kansas City Chiefs. He’s down at #47 this week in the ECR rankings. This is going to be a high-scoring affair in the late afternoon games. Kansas City going to Arizona, Mahomes, and Kyler squaring off in this one. I think MVS and Juju are locked in as the starters at WR right now for Kansas City. MVS should have a lot of room to operate here in one on one situations against a Cardinals secondary that is very below average. MVS has also shown in training camp and in pre-season games, that he's not just going to be a deep threat option in this offense. MVS has a chance to connect on a big down-the-field play though with Mahomes against this weak secondary, I’m expecting a lot of points. MVS I would fire up in my WR3 or Flex Spot with confidence this week.

Finally, at the Tight End spot, I’m going to give you two freebies! Evan Engram is currently TE20 in the ECR rankings at Fantasy Pros. That is a smash for me with the way he’s been targeted in Jacksonville so far and the way Pederson runs his offense, Engram should be a great play outside the top 12. The one I wanted to talk more about though is TE18 on the Week Austin Hooper for the Tennessee Titans. When you look at the Titans' offense, it’s really Robert Woods and who else? Nick Westbrook-Ihkine should start but is that someone really Ryan Tannehill is going to target a bunch? Kyle Phillips and Treylon Burks as rookies in their first game can you trust them? I’m betting no. I think Week 1 Austin Hooper should be a prime target candidate for Ryan Tannehill in this one. I think Hooper can get 5 for 50 or 60 yards. Maybe he scores a Touchdown? I’ll take any TE this week who I know is going to get targeted and a shot at double-digit PPR points for me this week. I think Hooper as the number two passing option in my opinion should be a really nice TE you can count on this week!

Good luck to everyone in Week 1!

Podcasts This Week

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