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- ⛽️🔥 Week 4 CFB picks,Tyler Higbee trade target
⛽️🔥 Week 4 CFB picks,Tyler Higbee trade target
Injury advice for Week 3, A Pitts dynasty Deal, and More
Destination Devy has been a staple in the fantasy community for over three years. Y'all know prospect identification and evaluation is the name of the game in dynasty fantasy football. Destination Devy is the place to be to get ahead and stay ahead of your league mates. Founded by Ray G, we aim to give you actionable and some of the most entertaining football content on the planet. Dynasty fantasy football is a game of chess, not checkers. The more you know about college prospects and upcoming classes, the better equipped you will be to position your dynasty rosters for short and long-term success. Tap into the best community for that below! Enjoy!
VIDEO OF THE WEEK
Week 3 NFL Prop bet courtesy of MySpari.Com
The Buccaneers are hosting the Packers in what looks to be a low-scoring game. The current game total sits at 41.5 across several books and the Buccs are favored by -1.5* as well.
The Buccs offense is banged up big time. This has led to Leonard Fournette receiving a high volume of carries through the first two weeks of the season.
I foresee much of the same from the Tampa offense in Week 3. They’re going to run it a ton. A nice indicator that this opinion is strong, is the fact that Tom Brady’s passing yards prop opened at 255.5 yards and has since dropped to 247.5 yards.
Give me the over 16.5 RUSH ATT for -110 on BetMGM / -115 on DK Sportsbook*.
Find all my picks via MySpari.com & @DFSnDonutson Twitter.
Let’s get paid!
*Odds and lines as of the publication of the newsletter
Ray's Week 4 College Football picks
It's week Four Baby. Last week my Trojans did me dirty, but this week we get back on track. Overall, my college record is 7-6-1 for the season. Let's dive into my favorite play for this week: Evan Hull's Fantasy score Over 21.5
The junior running back has been the engine of the Northwestern offense this season. He leads the team in rushing and receiving yards and has four touchdowns on the season. In 3 games, Hull has averaged 36.5 fantasy score points in the early season and should comfortably go over this week against a Miami of Ohio squad.
Click the button below and tail the Evan Hull play! Best of Luck
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Last year, Wan’Dale Robinson led the Kentucky Wildcats in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns, in which he more than doubled up the next highest in both receptions and yards. Robinson and their second leading WR from 2021, Josh Ali, are both out of Lexington and on to better things. However, Will Levis has his Wildcats at 3-0 and ranked #8 in the nation, including a big road win against SEC rival Florida. With all that receiving production gone, how are they still finding success through the air?
Two UK WRs are leading the way, but 2025 WR Dane Key has been the most impressive Wildcat this year. The true freshman has caught a TD in every game this year, including a 55-yarder against Florida, which set the tone for that game. The 4-star prospect has been the most impactful 2025 WR thus far, and I don’t see it slowing down any time soon.
In addition to the impressive raw stats above, Key has an average target depth of 16.5 and yards per route run of 3.51. The "true" breakout age threshold we like to see is a 20% dominator rating, but the really impactful threshold is 30%. Key has a dominator rating of 37.8% through three games of his collegiate career. If he can keep this up through SEC play in 2022, we could be watching a future star develop. Watch the Kentucky games to see 2023 QB Will Levis, but Dane Key will be the one you're left impressed with.
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It’s safe to say TreVeyon Henderson is at the top of most boards regarding the 2024 running back class. However, one of my favorite prospects in devy has been on the rise in September and is making a solid case early to be in the same tier as Henderson. That man is Raheim Sanders, the 6’2 225lbs specimen out of Arkansas. “Rocket” lives up to the nickname with his blazing speed and explosive burst out of the backfield, forcing defensive coordinators always to have a plan for this mismatch on the field. The sophomore Razorback has already put up 557 total yards from scrimmage with four touchdowns to open the season and has more receiving yards than he did all his freshman year. The increased usage in the receiving game is a critical facet of his prospect profile, especially for someone of his size. In our devy mocks, he has an ADP this month of 31.2, which sits him as our RB12 overall and currently RB5 within the 2024 class.
Every tight end on Georgia’s roster is getting at least some looks this season except Arik Gilbert, one of our biggest fallers in the month of September. Gilbert has fallen two full rounds of ADP this month to 49.0 overall and I expect this negative trend to continue. The former LSU Tiger had limited production during his tenure and has done nothing since he transferred to Georgia last year. People were in love with what he could be based on his physical tools and were ignoring all of the red flags. They say your best ability in football is availability, until Arik Gilbert plays meaningful football again, stop drafting him!
There were several key injuries that occurred in Week 2 that will affect our fantasy teams moving forward. Justin Herbert suffered a fractured rib cartilage injury that may wind up costing him a week or two, with our Chargers weapons then relying on Chase Daniels for production. Trey Lance suffered a season-ending ankle fracture and dislocation, leaving the fantasy production of the 49ers' weapons up to the talent of Jimmy Garoppolo’s arm (which might wind up being an upgrade for fantasy purposes in the short term, but we’ll find out).
Here are some key players I’m keeping an eye on as the daily injury reports have been announced:
Christian McCaffrey (ankle) has been added to the injury report after experiencing lingering stiffness after last week’s game. He is expected to play, but keep an eye on this. His history warrants concern. James Conner (ankle) has returned to practice and is expected to play. Jerry Jeudy (ribs/chest/sternum) was doing individual drills in practice but not officially practicing, and I believe he’s at risk of missing this week, so I have a backup option ready. Mike Evans (suspension) will be out this week, but it may allow him to get closer to 100% from his calf injury. It does not sound like Julio Jones (knee) will be playing this week as he has not been able to practice, leaving receiving duties up to Russell Gage and Scotty Miller. Lamar Jackson (right elbow) was limited in throwing in practice and was spotted wearing a compression sleeve. However, he is expected to be fine for this week. Gabriel Davis (ankle) has been able to practice in at least a limited fashion and has stated he intends to play. Still, a recent video of him favoring his ankle and limping during practice makes me skeptical about playing him in fantasy. Alvin Kamara (ribs) has been able to practice this week and seems to be trending towards playing. Dalton Schultz (Knee/PCL) is reportedly trending upwards. However, it hinges on his ability to practice on Sunday, so I would lean towards finding another option at TE this week and will discuss this further on the injury pod. Michael Pittman (quadriceps) has been able to practice in a limited fashion but stated the medical staff will determine his return, so keep a close eye on his status. Keenan Allen (hamstring) is in a similar boat to Pittman, also saying he has a shot at playing, but the staff will determine his status. George Kittle (groin) has a good chance to play this week, as he was close to playing last week.
There are many more updates, especially after full injury reports come out, so be sure to tune in to the Destination Devy Injury Pod that drops on Sunday morning before setting your lineups, and follow me @jmthrivept for live updates.
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All Gas Trade of the Week
Really? Are we really doing this? It's been two weeks, people. Kakrabd has some explaining to do. What else did you offer ZachChavo? Half the pot when you inevitably win your league for the next five years? Let me calm down here. The best case scenario that I pick is the 1.01 in 2023. If you want to make a case for it, then go ahead. I won't fight you. You've lost me anything outside of that for a 21-year-old DYNASTY TE1. If this is mid to late 23 first and I'm receiving Pitts, I'm going to my aunt's crib, and telling her I need a place to stay. I'll borrow a dress, and a blonde wig, and shave my legs with Renee's razor blades. So smooth.
Beyond the Mic🎙
@ATM encourages patience this week while rebuilding your dynasty squad.
Entering week 3 we have seen some great games from a few rookie wide receivers. Garrett Wilson caught the game-winning touchdown on his 8-catch, 102-yard, 2 TD performance. Drake London has outperformed Pitts two weeks in a row and Jahan Dotson has 3 TDs through two weeks. It's very exciting seeing these performances so early from rookies. This has led to a lot of questions coming my way in regards to acquiring them on teams that are rebuilding. Even rebuilding teams want to obtain players that are playing well on NFL teams today!
In general, I have two main suggestions to rebuilders here: 1- remain patient and be careful not to overspend on players that are currently in the middle of a value surge. 2- Don't consolidate assets in a rebuild. If you can acquire them while following these two rules, it could certainly make sense to acquire them.
To give deeper context to this question, there is a 3rd step and a final differentiator when assessing this situation. I look at things from a portfolio perspective. I have 9 Dotson shares (38%) and five shares (21%) of both Wilson and London (I acquired almost all of these shares by acquiring 2022 picks when the picks were at their floor last year during the season. This is by far and away the best method to acquire these players). From a portfolio perspective, I am overweight on Dotson and in a comfortable spot on Wilson and London.
Because I have solid exposure to London and Wilson, I'm not eager to overpay to become overweight on them. This does happen to present me with a perfect time to cash out on some of my Dotson shares and take a profit on some while also still keeping some shares because I am still VERY much in on the talent. I have already moved 2 of those 9 Dotson shares and would like to move 1 or 2 more.
If you are a portfolio dynasty manager, this is a great way to manage your diversification while also playing the value game. If you aren't in several leagues and believe in Wilson, London, or Dotson, then go get your guy! Just be careful you aren't significantly overpaying. You aren't consolidating too many assets on your rebuilds.
-ATM
You can check out all the content that the 4D Guys dropped this past week ⬇️
@Just_Ike09 tells us it's time to bench a very popular QB
It’s time to bench Tom Brady. Crazy as it sounds, he is currently the QB29 through the first two weeks & not startable in 1QB fantasy leagues. So far, the offense hasn’t been near as pass-heavy as it was in the previous two seasons - only ranking 24th in first down pass rate when they were the 2nd highest in 2021. Overall pass volume is down as well (only averaging 30.5 attempts per game vs. 40 the previous two seasons); you simply can’t trust this passing offense.
With Mike Evans suspended for a game, Chris Godwin & Julio Jones dealing with injuries (both missed Thursday’s practice). Sunday’s game vs. the Packers has a low 41 O/U; Tom Brady is best left on the bench until we see an uptick in the passing volume & better production (only 2 TD’s thru 2 games). I would strongly consider pivoting to other QB streamers such as Marcus Mariota (vs Seattle) or Jared Goff (vs Minnesota).
Who is @FantasyGenes targeting after 2 weeks of production?
We are now two weeks in the season and have two weeks of data points to go off of. Every week the fantasy landscape gives you new prices on these players. Our job is to take the data and try to make sense of it. I will hit on a player. I think you should kick the tires on acquiring in redraft.
The TE landscape sucks, but I think if your TE room is a zero, ask about Tyler Higbee if he's not on your waivers (available in 25% of leagues on Sleeper). Higbee has an 88% route participation with a 30% target per route run, equating to a 26% target share. When looking at TEs, the elite ones are above 80% route participation and at least 18-20% target share. Mix these tremendous early numbers with the situation in LA right now; no 3rd WR of consequence, only seven targets to the running back in 2 games, and it is a condensed passing attack. The targets are only going to Kupp, Allen Robinson, Higbee, and maybe another guy. Higbee has 20 targets, which is 2nd on the team and 1st in the NFL for TEs. I am sure this monster start will not hold but looking at the data, you can see why he is a buy. Slide to that owner's inbox and see if you can get him.
@EricVanekNFL gives us his best streaming options in Week Three.
Last week wasn’t too bad at all if you followed this column! Wentz did great for fantasy yet again, Michael Carter did enough to get you the 10 PPR fantasy points I predicted, Jarvis Landry was a little bit of a letdown, and Evan Engram had a solid week as far as back end TE’s go, and that’s all that you can ask at the TE position right now.
This week here’s what I have you for to hopefully help you guys stream some players into your lineups and get a win here in Week 3 of the fantasy season.
I will be looking at Fantasy Pros ECR rankings to give you a look at guys outside the top 12 at QB, top 24 RB, top 36 WR, and top 12 at TE as some sleeper options to play this week.
At Quarterback this week, I will go with the hot hand here against a very banged-up secondary, QB Tua Tagovailoa from the Miami Dolphins. Tua is coming off the best game in his professional career, and this is a huge division match-up. The Dolphins are running hot right now, and I’m not getting off the train. Buffalo is already missing TreDavious White, both safeties Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer are questionable this week, and CB Dane Jackson, who had the scary injury last week, may not play as well. So who is really going to be able to cover Tyreek and Waddle this week? I’m going with Tua this week.
Running back position this week outside the top 24 ECR. I will go with RB 41 on the week in RB Nyheim Hines. For most teams who go hero RB or zero RB, you need to fill that RB2 spot with someone who will get you consistent PPR points. A guy like Nyheim Hines fits that bill every week, and they go up against the Kansas City Chiefs this week. When the Colts play in a game where they’re most likely going to be behind at some point and need to throw it a little bit, this is the perfect time to fire up Nyheim Hines. I expect 10+ PPR points for Hines this week and will gladly throw him into my lineups.
Wide receiver this week, I am going to go with a rookie WR here. He’s ranked 42nd this week, and that is New Orleans Saints wideout Chris Olave. Olave set a record (I think?) last week for over 300+ air yards last week. He had 13 targets and caught 5 for 80. With those air yards, they’re bound to hit here at some point. What better way than against Carolina in this one. They’re chucking it deep to Olave. They want to stretch the field with him. I am going to trust that this week one or two of those deep bombs to Olave connect, and Olave has a big game here, plus with all those targets he is getting. Sign me up.
Tight End is pretty easy for me this week, and that is TE Tyler Conklin from the New York Jets. Tyler played 100% of the snaps last week and will most likely again this week if C.J.Uzomah is out yet again. Conklin is the clear receiving TE here, and Joe Flacco has always loved to target his TEs. I’m expecting this to be another high-scoring match. When these two teams met last, it was a high-scoring thrilling game back and forth. I hope another match-up like that this week with the offensive skill players in this game going off, and I think Conklin is one of the guys who will benefit here. Fire up some Conklin with confidence!
Good luck to everyone here in Week 3!
Podcasts This Week
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